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Liga MX · Apertura - 12
Toluca
1 - 1Full time
Atletico San Luis
Estadio Nemesio Diez · Referee: Marco Antonio Ortiz Nava

Toluca vs Atletico San Luis Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home Win
Odds1.33
58%
Confidence · Fair
TolucaDrawAtletico San Luis
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
67%
BTTS
Yes
56%
Correct score
2-0
8%
HT/FT
1/1
45%
Double chance
1X
89%
Avg goals
3.5
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Winner : Toluca and +1.5 goals.
  • Recent form: Toluca WWLDL, Atletico San Luis LLWWL (oldest to newest).
  • Toluca score 2.3 a game this season; Atletico San Luis score 1.4.

Match preview

Toluca host Atletico San Luis in the Liga MX (Apertura - 12) on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Estadio Nemesio Diez.

This season Toluca score 2.2 and concede 1.3 goals a game; Atletico San Luis score 1.3 and concede 1.8.

In their last 5 meetings, Toluca won 4, Atletico San Luis won 0 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home Win with 58% confidence, priced at 1.33.

Quick answers

Who will win Toluca vs Atletico San Luis?

Our model gives Toluca 58%, the draw 31% and Atletico San Luis 11%. Our tip is Home Win (58% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 56% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 67% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Toluca 2 - 0 Atletico San Luis. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 89% confidence at odds of 1.08.

When is Toluca vs Atletico San Luis?

Kick-off is Sunday, 18 October 2026, 01:00 UTC at Estadio Nemesio Diez. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. Érick Gutiérrez67'
  2. 73'Rafael Llorente
  3. 83'Rafael Llorente ⇄ Leonardo Flores
  4. 83'Anderson Duarte ⇄ Juanpe
  5. 87'David Rodriguez ⇄ Miguel García
  6. 88'Sebastien Salles-lamonge ⇄ Benjamín Galdames

Match stats

TolucaAtletico San Luis
Possession
55%45%
Expected goals (xG)
0.000.00
Shots
11
Shots on target
11
Yellow cards
00
Red cards
00
Passes
11