Tigres UANL vs Leon Prediction, Odds & Tips
Home or Draw (1X)Odds1.28
Tigres UANLDrawLeon
46%36%18%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
51%
Why we like it
- Model advice: Double chance : Tigres UANL or draw.
- Recent form: Tigres UANL DDLWW, Leon LWDWD (oldest to newest).
- Tigres UANL score 1.2 a game this season; Leon score 1.4.
Match preview
Tigres UANL host Leon in the Liga MX (Apertura - 13) on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at Estadio Universitario.
This season Tigres UANL score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals a game; Leon score 1.5 and concede 1.4.
In their last 5 meetings, Tigres UANL won 2, Leon won 1 and 2 ended level.
Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 82% confidence, priced at 1.28.
Quick answers
Who will win Tigres UANL vs Leon?
Our model gives Tigres UANL 46%, the draw 36% and Leon 18%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (82% confidence).
Will both teams score?
Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 55% confidence.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 51% confidence.
What is the predicted correct score?
Our most likely score is Tigres UANL 1 - 1 Leon. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.
What is the safest bet?
Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 82% confidence at odds of 1.28.
When is Tigres UANL vs Leon?
Kick-off is Wednesday, 21 October 2026, 03:00 UTC at Estadio Universitario. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.
Match events
- 19'Ismael Díaz●
- 46'Sebastián Vegas
- ⇄Jonathan Herrera ⇄ Rodrigo Aguirre58'
- ⇄Henrique Simeone ⇄ Diego Sánchez58'
- 64'Ivan Moreno ⇄ Bryan Colula⇄
- 64'Fernando Beltran ⇄ Jose Rodriguez⇄
- 73'Sebastián Vegas ⇄ Diber Cambindo⇄
- 73'Jose Alvarado ⇄ Christopher Mora⇄
- ⇄Emiliano Gómez ⇄ Ricardo Monreal81'
- ⇄Fernando Gorriarán ⇄ Cesar Araujo81'
- 84'Edgar Guerra ⇄ Paul Bellón⇄
- ⇄Jesús Garza ⇄ jaidyn contreras86'
- 89'Diber CambindoAssist: Rodrigo Echeverría●
Match stats
Tigres UANLLeon
Expected goals (xG)
1.932.27
Key stats
Per game, this seasonTigres UANLLeon
Model comparison
PercentTigres UANLLeon
Goals scored, last 5
5.07.0
Goals conceded, last 5
5.06.0
Goal forecast: Tigres UANL Under 2.5, Leon Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw
Tigres UANL · last 1
0W 1D 0L17 OctAGuadalajara Chivas1-1D
Leon · last 1
0W 0D 1L18 OctHClub America3-5L
Head to head
Last 10Feb 2026Leon1-2Tigres UANL
Sept 2025Tigres UANL0-0Leon
Feb 2025Leon1-0Tigres UANL
Sept 2024Tigres UANL2-2Leon
Jan 2024Leon1-2Tigres UANL
Jul 2023Tigres UANL1-0Leon
May 2023Leon3-1Tigres UANL
May 2023Leon3-0Tigres UANL
Apr 2023Tigres UANL2-1Leon
Sept 2022Tigres UANL0-1Leon
Best available odds
DecimalHT/FT
1/X13.00
1/229.00
X/27.50
X/X5.50
1/13.25
X/15.50
2/123.00
2/X15.00
2/25.50
Correct score
1-16.50
1-08.50
2-19.00
2-010.00
0-011.00
0-112.00
1-212.00
2-213.00
3-117.00
3-019.00
0-219.00
3-223.00
Highlighted = our pick. Odds change; check with the bookmaker before betting.
Confirmed line-ups
ConfirmedTigres UANL 4-2-3-1
1N. Guzmán
14J. Garza
15A. Franco
33R. Guerrero
19M. Laínez
8F. Gorriarán
34Simeone
16D. Lainez
9E. Gómez
77O. Herrera
22G. Martínez
Leon 4-1-4-1
23Ó. García
7I. Moreno
14J. Romaña
3Juan José Guevara Possu
5S. Vegas
20R. Echeverría
18E. Guerra
6F. Beltrán
13D. Arcila
11I. Díaz
19J. Alvarado
