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Primera División · Clausura - 14
Sporting Cristal
Alianza Lima
Estadio Alberto Gallardo

Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds–
90%
Confidence · High
Sporting CristalDrawAlianza Lima
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS
Yes
56%
Correct score
1-2
2%
HT/FT
1/1
28%
Double chance
1X
90%
Avg goals
2.8
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Sporting Cristal or draw.
  • Recent form: Sporting Cristal WWWWW, Alianza Lima DLWWW (oldest to newest).
  • Sporting Cristal score 1.8 a game this season; Alianza Lima score 1.7.

Match preview

Sporting Cristal host Alianza Lima in the Primera División (Clausura - 14) on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at Estadio Alberto Gallardo.

This season Sporting Cristal score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals a game; Alianza Lima score 1.7 and concede 0.7.

In their last 5 meetings, Sporting Cristal won 0, Alianza Lima won 1 and 4 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 90% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima?

Our model gives Sporting Cristal 45%, the draw 45% and Alianza Lima 10%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (90% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 56% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 53% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Sporting Cristal 1 - 2 Alianza Lima. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 90% confidence.

When is Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima?

Kick-off is Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 21:00 UTC at Estadio Alberto Gallardo. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
Sporting CristalAlianza Lima
Goals scored
1.81.7
Goals conceded
1.40.7
Clean sheets
21%38%

Model comparison

Percent
Sporting CristalAlianza Lima
Form
60%40%
Attack
63%38%
Defence
56%44%
Poisson model
49%51%
Head to head
50%50%
Goals
50%50%
Overall
55%46%
Form, last 5 games
100%67%
Goals scored, last 5
15.09.0
Goals conceded, last 5
4.05.0
Goal forecast: Sporting Cristal Under 3.5, Alianza Lima Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw