Skip to content
Register
Primera División · Clausura - 13
UCV Moquegua
Alianza Lima
Estadio 25 de Noviembre

UCV Moquegua vs Alianza Lima Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds1.12
93%
Confidence · High
UCV MoqueguaDrawAlianza Lima
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
BTTS
No
58%
Correct score
0-1
12%
HT/FT
2/2
36%
Double chance
X2
93%
Avg goals
2.4
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : draw or Alianza Lima.
  • Recent form: UCV Moquegua LLLLW, Alianza Lima DLWWW (oldest to newest).
  • UCV Moquegua score 0.9 a game this season; Alianza Lima score 1.7.

Match preview

UCV Moquegua host Alianza Lima in the Primera División (Clausura - 13) on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at Estadio 25 de Noviembre.

This season UCV Moquegua score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals a game; Alianza Lima score 1.7 and concede 0.7.

In their last 1 meetings, UCV Moquegua won 0, Alianza Lima won 1 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 93% confidence, priced at 1.12.

Quick answers

Who will win UCV Moquegua vs Alianza Lima?

Our model gives UCV Moquegua 7%, the draw 37% and Alianza Lima 55%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (93% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 58% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 55% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is UCV Moquegua 0 - 1 Alianza Lima. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 93% confidence at odds of 1.12.

When is UCV Moquegua vs Alianza Lima?

Kick-off is Sunday, 25 October 2026, 18:15 UTC at Estadio 25 de Noviembre. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
UCV MoqueguaAlianza Lima
Goals scored
0.91.7
Goals conceded
1.50.7
Clean sheets
28%38%

Model comparison

Percent
UCV MoqueguaAlianza Lima
Form
23%77%
Attack
18%82%
Defence
33%67%
Poisson model
28%72%
Head to head
0%100%
Goals
33%67%
Overall
27%73%
Form, last 5 games
20%67%
Goals scored, last 5
2.09.0
Goals conceded, last 5
10.05.0
Goal forecast: UCV Moquegua Under 1.5, Alianza Lima Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw

More from Primera División

All ›
77'
Peru: Primera DivisiónComerciantes Unidos11 - 1Cienciano1X21.3679%Peru: Primera DivisiónSport BoysvsFC CajamarcaX22.3066%Peru: Primera DivisiónDeportivo GarcilasovsClub Deportivo Los ChankasHome1.6251%Peru: Primera DivisiónJuan Pablo II CollegevsSport HuancayoX2–90%