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J-League Cup · Round of 16
Sagan Tosu
Kawasaki Frontale
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium

Sagan Tosu vs Kawasaki Frontale Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds–
90%
Confidence · High
Sagan TosuDrawKawasaki Frontale
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS
Yes
52%
Correct score
1-2
8%
HT/FT
2/2
28%
Double chance
X2
90%
Avg goals
2.8
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : draw or Kawasaki Frontale.
  • Recent form: Sagan Tosu WWW, Kawasaki Frontale WW (oldest to newest).
  • Sagan Tosu score 2.0 a game this season; Kawasaki Frontale score 2.5.

Match preview

Sagan Tosu host Kawasaki Frontale in the J-League Cup (Round of 16) on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Sagan Tosu come into the game with a form of WLWW (newest first; 3 wins in their last 4), while Kawasaki Frontale have WWWW (newest first; 4 wins in their last 4).

This season Sagan Tosu score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals a game; Kawasaki Frontale score 2.1 and concede 1.5.

In their last 5 meetings, Sagan Tosu won 1, Kawasaki Frontale won 4 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 90% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win Sagan Tosu vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Our model gives Sagan Tosu 10%, the draw 45% and Kawasaki Frontale 45%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (90% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 52% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 52% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Sagan Tosu 1 - 2 Kawasaki Frontale. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 90% confidence.

When is Sagan Tosu vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Kick-off is Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 10:00 UTC at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
Sagan TosuKawasaki Frontale
Goals scored
1.02.1
Goals conceded
1.31.5
Clean sheets
33%9%

Model comparison

Percent
Sagan TosuKawasaki Frontale
Form
60%40%
Attack
55%45%
Defence
0%100%
Poisson model
0%100%
Head to head
29%71%
Goals
50%50%
Overall
49%52%
Form, last 5 games
100%100%
Goals scored, last 5
6.05.0
Goals conceded, last 5
3.00.0
Goal forecast: Sagan Tosu Under 2.5, Kawasaki Frontale Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw