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J-League Cup · Round of 16
Mito Hollyhock
Cerezo Osaka
Best Denki Stadium

Mito Hollyhock vs Cerezo Osaka Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds–
90%
Confidence · High
Mito HollyhockDrawCerezo Osaka
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS
Yes
63%
Correct score
2-1
8%
HT/FT
1/1
28%
Double chance
1X
90%
Avg goals
3.4
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Mito Hollyhock or draw.
  • Recent form: Mito Hollyhock DWW, Cerezo Osaka WW (oldest to newest).
  • Mito Hollyhock score 2.7 a game this season; Cerezo Osaka score 2.5.

Match preview

Mito Hollyhock host Cerezo Osaka in the J-League Cup (Round of 16) on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at Best Denki Stadium.

Mito Hollyhock come into the game with a form of LLLW (newest first; 1 win in their last 4), while Cerezo Osaka have DDLW (newest first; 1 win in their last 4).

This season Mito Hollyhock score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals a game; Cerezo Osaka score 0.9 and concede 1.5.

In their last 4 meetings, Mito Hollyhock won 0, Cerezo Osaka won 1 and 3 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 90% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win Mito Hollyhock vs Cerezo Osaka?

Our model gives Mito Hollyhock 45%, the draw 45% and Cerezo Osaka 10%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (90% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 63% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 65% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Mito Hollyhock 2 - 1 Cerezo Osaka. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 90% confidence.

When is Mito Hollyhock vs Cerezo Osaka?

Kick-off is Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 10:00 UTC at Best Denki Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
Mito HollyhockCerezo Osaka
Goals scored
1.10.9
Goals conceded
1.51.5
Clean sheets
0%36%

Model comparison

Percent
Mito HollyhockCerezo Osaka
Form
54%46%
Attack
62%38%
Defence
100%0%
Poisson model
100%0%
Head to head
33%67%
Goals
45%55%
Overall
49%52%
Form, last 5 games
78%100%
Goals scored, last 5
8.05.0
Goals conceded, last 5
0.03.0
Goal forecast: Mito Hollyhock Under 2.5, Cerezo Osaka Under 3.5Model verdict: Win or draw