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La Liga · Regular Season - 9
Real Madrid
4 - 1Full time
Sevilla
Santiago Bernabéu Stadium · Referee: Mateo Busquets Ferrer

Real Madrid vs Sevilla Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.05
91%
Confidence · High
Real MadridDrawSevilla
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS
No
52%
Correct score
2-0
9%
HT/FT
1/1
51%
Double chance
1X
91%
Avg goals
3.3
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Real Madrid or draw.
  • Recent form: Real Madrid LWWLW, Sevilla DWWLD (oldest to newest).
  • Real Madrid score 2.4 a game this season; Sevilla score 1.6.

Match preview

Real Madrid host Sevilla in the La Liga (Regular Season - 9) on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Santiago Bernabéu Stadium.

This season Real Madrid score 2.6 and concede 1.0 goals a game; Sevilla score 1.6 and concede 1.8.

In their last 5 meetings, Real Madrid won 5, Sevilla won 0 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 91% confidence, priced at 1.05.

Quick answers

Who will win Real Madrid vs Sevilla?

Our model gives Real Madrid 62%, the draw 29% and Sevilla 9%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (91% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 52% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 70% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Real Madrid 2 - 0 Sevilla. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 91% confidence at odds of 1.05.

When is Real Madrid vs Sevilla?

Kick-off is Sunday, 18 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Santiago Bernabéu Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. 23'Felix Correia
  2. Dean Huijsen23'
  3. Arda GülerAssist: Yan Diomande30'
  4. Kylian MbappéAssist: Jude Bellingham37'
  5. 45'Rubén Vargas ⇄ Chidera Ejuke
  6. 56'Robbie Ure ⇄ Lucas Stassin
  7. 56'Peque Fernández ⇄ Manuel Bueno Sebastián
  8. Kylian MbappéPenalty63'
  9. 69'Juan Antonio Iglesias Sánchez
  10. Endrick Felipe Moreira de Sousa ⇄ Brahim Díaz69'
  11. Jude Bellingham ⇄ Bernardo Silva70'
  12. 72'Juan Antonio Iglesias Sánchez ⇄ José Ángel Carmona
  13. 73'Felix Correia ⇄ Alfonso González Martínez
  14. Marc Cucurella73'
  15. Arda Güler ⇄ Eduardo Camavinga78'
  16. 80'Manuel Bueno SebastiánAssist: Lucas Stassin
  17. Yan DiomandeAssist: Aurelien Tchouameni82'
  18. Kylian Mbappé ⇄ Carlos Espí85'
  19. Federico Valverde ⇄ Éder Militão85'

Match stats

Real MadridSevilla
Possession
65%35%
Expected goals (xG)
2.320.81
Shots
1511
Shots on target
85
Corners
12
Fouls
1014
Offsides
10
Yellow cards
22
Red cards
00
Saves
43
Passes
666350