Puebla vs Monterrey Prediction, Odds & Tips
Our Prediction
Banker of the DayDraw or Away (X2)Odds1.22
PueblaDrawMonterrey
17%35%48%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
54%
Why we like it
- Model advice: Double chance : draw or Monterrey.
- Recent form: Puebla LDLDD, Monterrey LDWLD (oldest to newest).
- Puebla score 1.0 a game this season; Monterrey score 1.7.
Match preview
Puebla host Monterrey in the Liga MX (Apertura - 13) on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at Estadio Cuauhtémoc.
This season Puebla score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals a game; Monterrey score 1.9 and concede 1.4.
In their last 5 meetings, Puebla won 0, Monterrey won 4 and 1 ended level.
Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 83% confidence, priced at 1.22.
Quick answers
Who will win Puebla vs Monterrey?
Our model gives Puebla 17%, the draw 35% and Monterrey 48%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (83% confidence).
Will both teams score?
Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 55% confidence.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 54% confidence.
What is the predicted correct score?
Our most likely score is Puebla 1 - 1 Monterrey. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.
What is the safest bet?
Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 83% confidence at odds of 1.22.
When is Puebla vs Monterrey?
Kick-off is Thursday, 22 October 2026, 01:00 UTC at Estadio Cuauhtémoc. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.
Match events
- 17'Diego RossiAssist: Lucas Ocampos●
- 31'Hugo Cuypers●
- 34'Lucas OcamposAssist: Óliver Torres●
- ⇄Heriberto Jurado ⇄ Omar Moreno45'
- 45'Carlos Salcedo ⇄ Daniel Aceves⇄
- ⇄Mathías Adrián Tomás Borges ⇄ Eduardo Armenta45'
- ⇄Eduardo Mustre ⇄ L. Hernández56'
- 57'Orbelín Pineda ⇄ Roberto de la Rosa⇄
- 57'Hugo Cuypers ⇄ Lucas Orellano⇄
- 58'Diego Rossi ⇄ Iker Fimbres⇄
- 61'Roberto de la RosaAssist: Óliver Torres●
- ⇄Alonso Ramirez ⇄ Ignacio Maestro65'
- ●Facundo Almada66'
- 76'Lucas Ocampos ⇄ Jesús Corona⇄
- ⇄Iker Moreno ⇄ José Pachuca79'
- 90'Lucas Orellano
- 90+1'Ricardo Chávez
Match stats
PueblaMonterrey
Expected goals (xG)
1.191.46
Key stats
Per game, this seasonPueblaMonterrey
Model comparison
PercentPueblaMonterrey
Goals scored, last 5
2.05.0
Goals conceded, last 5
4.08.0
Goal forecast: Puebla Under 1.5, Monterrey Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw
Puebla · last 1
0W 1D 0L17 OctAClub Tijuana0-0D
Monterrey · last 1
1W 0D 0L19 OctHCF Pachuca2-1W
Head to head
Last 10Apr 2026Monterrey2-1Puebla
Aug 2025Puebla2-4Monterrey
Jan 2025Monterrey1-1Puebla
Aug 2024Puebla1-2Monterrey
Jan 2024Monterrey2-0Puebla
Oct 2023Puebla1-1Monterrey
Jan 2023Puebla1-2Monterrey
Jul 2022Monterrey1-0Puebla
Feb 2022Puebla1-0Monterrey
Jul 2021Monterrey1-1Puebla
Best available odds
DecimalHT/FT
1/X15.00
1/221.00
X/25.00
X/X6.00
1/16.50
X/18.50
2/129.00
2/X13.00
2/23.00
Correct score
1-17.00
0-18.00
1-28.50
0-29.50
0-012.00
1-013.00
2-113.00
2-213.00
0-315.00
1-315.00
2-021.00
3-123.00
2-323.00
Highlighted = our pick. Odds change; check with the bookmaker before betting.
Confirmed line-ups
ConfirmedPuebla 4-2-3-1
28R. Gutiérrez
12I. Moreno
5F. Almada
4J. Vargas
7F. Monárrez
24A. Organista
16A. Ramírez
27B. Garnica
10M. Tomás
25H. Jurado
29E. Mustre
Monterrey 4-2-3-1
1E. Andrada
2R. Chávez
4V. Guzmán
13C. Salcedo
3G. Arteaga
8Óliver Torres
25O. Pineda
18Cesar Garza Cantu
9D. Rossi
7L. Ocampos
99H. Cuypers
