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Primera División · Clausura - 13
Penarol
Wanderers

Penarol vs Wanderers Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.12
87%
Confidence · High
PenarolDrawWanderers
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS
No
56%
Correct score
1-0
12%
HT/FT
1/1
37%
Double chance
1X
87%
Avg goals
2.5
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Penarol or draw.
  • Recent form: Penarol DWDLD, Wanderers WWLLL (oldest to newest).
  • Penarol score 1.6 a game this season; Wanderers score 1.2.

Match preview

Penarol host Wanderers in the Primera División (Clausura - 13) on Saturday, 31 October 2026.

Penarol come into the game with a form of LDL (newest first; 0 wins in their last 3).

This season Penarol score 1.6 and concede 0.8 goals a game; Wanderers score 1.2 and concede 1.4.

In their last 5 meetings, Penarol won 4, Wanderers won 1 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 87% confidence, priced at 1.12.

Quick answers

Who will win Penarol vs Wanderers?

Our model gives Penarol 53%, the draw 34% and Wanderers 13%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (87% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 56% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 51% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Penarol 1 - 0 Wanderers. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 87% confidence at odds of 1.12.

When is Penarol vs Wanderers?

Kick-off is Saturday, 31 October 2026, 19:30 UTC. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
PenarolWanderers
Goals scored
1.61.2
Goals conceded
0.81.4
Clean sheets
34%34%

Model comparison

Percent
PenarolWanderers
Form
50%50%
Attack
38%63%
Defence
73%27%
Poisson model
68%32%
Head to head
80%20%
Goals
80%20%
Overall
65%35%
Form, last 5 games
40%40%
Goals scored, last 5
3.05.0
Goals conceded, last 5
3.08.0
Goal forecast: Penarol Under 2.5, Wanderers Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw

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