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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 8
Paris Saint Germain
Lyon
Parc des Princes · Referee: Jerome Brisard

Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.12
87%
Confidence · High
Paris Saint GermainDrawLyon
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS
Yes
61%
Correct score
2-1
8%
HT/FT
1/1
42%
Double chance
1X
87%
Avg goals
3.0
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Paris Saint Germain or draw.
  • Recent form: Paris Saint Germain LWWWW, Lyon WDWLW (oldest to newest).
  • Paris Saint Germain score 2.0 a game this season; Lyon score 1.9.

Match preview

Paris Saint Germain host Lyon in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 8) on Monday, 26 October 2026 at Parc des Princes.

Paris Saint Germain come into the game with a form of WWW (newest first; 3 wins in their last 3), while Lyon have LWW (newest first; 2 wins in their last 3).

This season Paris Saint Germain score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals a game; Lyon score 1.9 and concede 0.7.

In their last 5 meetings, Paris Saint Germain won 4, Lyon won 1 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 87% confidence, priced at 1.12.

Quick answers

Who will win Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon?

Our model gives Paris Saint Germain 56%, the draw 31% and Lyon 13%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (87% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 61% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 70% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Paris Saint Germain 2 - 1 Lyon. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 87% confidence at odds of 1.12.

When is Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon?

Kick-off is Monday, 26 October 2026, 19:30 UTC at Parc des Princes. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
Paris Saint GermainLyon
Goals scored
2.01.9
Goals conceded
1.30.7
Clean sheets
14%43%

Model comparison

Percent
Paris Saint GermainLyon
Form
55%45%
Attack
50%50%
Defence
44%56%
Poisson model
43%57%
Head to head
80%20%
Goals
60%40%
Overall
55%45%
Form, last 5 games
80%67%
Goals scored, last 5
10.010.0
Goals conceded, last 5
5.04.0
Goal forecast: Paris Saint Germain Under 2.5, Lyon Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw