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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 8
Auxerre
Le Mans
Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps · Referee: Willy Delajod

Auxerre vs Le Mans Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.33
81%
Confidence · High
AuxerreDrawLe Mans
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS
Yes
58%
Correct score
1-1
10%
HT/FT
1/1
24%
Double chance
1X
81%
Avg goals
3.8
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Auxerre or draw.
  • Recent form: Auxerre LWWLW, Le Mans DDWLL (oldest to newest).
  • Auxerre score 1.6 a game this season; Le Mans score 1.4.

Match preview

Auxerre host Le Mans in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 8) on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps.

This season Auxerre score 1.6 and concede 2.4 goals a game; Le Mans score 1.4 and concede 2.1.

In their last 5 meetings, Auxerre won 3, Le Mans won 1 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 81% confidence, priced at 1.33.

Quick answers

Who will win Auxerre vs Le Mans?

Our model gives Auxerre 45%, the draw 36% and Le Mans 19%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (81% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 58% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 57% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Auxerre 1 - 1 Le Mans. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 81% confidence at odds of 1.33.

When is Auxerre vs Le Mans?

Kick-off is Sunday, 25 October 2026, 16:15 UTC at Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
AuxerreLe Mans
Goals scored
1.61.4
Goals conceded
2.42.1
Clean sheets
14%0%

Model comparison

Percent
AuxerreLe Mans
Form
64%36%
Attack
57%43%
Defence
53%47%
Poisson model
60%40%
Head to head
71%29%
Goals
57%43%
Overall
60%40%
Form, last 5 games
60%33%
Goals scored, last 5
8.06.0
Goals conceded, last 5
9.010.0
Goal forecast: Auxerre Under 2.5, Le Mans Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw