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Cup · Greek Cup - 4
Panathinaikos
Aris Thessalonikis
Olympic Stadium of Athens

Panathinaikos vs Aris Thessalonikis Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds–
90%
Confidence · High
PanathinaikosDrawAris Thessalonikis
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
80%
BTTS
No
72%
Correct score
1-1
8%
HT/FT
1/1
28%
Double chance
1X
90%
Avg goals
1.6
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Double chance : Panathinaikos or draw and -3.5 goals.
  • Recent form: Panathinaikos WW, Aris Thessalonikis WDW (oldest to newest).
  • Panathinaikos score 1.5 a game this season; Aris Thessalonikis score 1.3.

Match preview

Panathinaikos host Aris Thessalonikis in the Cup (Greek Cup - 4) on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at Olympic Stadium of Athens.

Panathinaikos come into the game with a form of WWWW (newest first; 4 wins in their last 4).

This season Panathinaikos score 2.4 and concede 0.6 goals a game; Aris Thessalonikis score 1.4 and concede 1.9.

In their last 5 meetings, Panathinaikos won 2, Aris Thessalonikis won 1 and 2 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 90% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win Panathinaikos vs Aris Thessalonikis?

Our model gives Panathinaikos 45%, the draw 45% and Aris Thessalonikis 10%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (90% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 72% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 80% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Panathinaikos 1 - 1 Aris Thessalonikis. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 90% confidence.

When is Panathinaikos vs Aris Thessalonikis?

Kick-off is Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 15:30 UTC at Olympic Stadium of Athens. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
PanathinaikosAris Thessalonikis
Goals scored
2.41.4
Goals conceded
0.61.9
Clean sheets
43%14%

Model comparison

Percent
PanathinaikosAris Thessalonikis
Form
46%54%
Attack
43%57%
Defence
100%0%
Poisson model
100%0%
Head to head
62%38%
Goals
62%38%
Overall
53%47%
Form, last 5 games
100%78%
Goals scored, last 5
3.04.0
Goals conceded, last 5
0.01.0
Goal forecast: Panathinaikos Under 1.5, Aris Thessalonikis Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw