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Copa Do Brasil · Semi-finals
Palmeiras
Vasco DA Gama

Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds–
90%
Confidence · High
PalmeirasDrawVasco DA Gama
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS
Yes
54%
Correct score
2-1
8%
HT/FT
1/1
28%
Double chance
1X
90%
Avg goals
2.7
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Palmeiras or draw.
  • Recent form: Palmeiras WWLWD, Vasco DA Gama DDWWW (oldest to newest).
  • Palmeiras score 2.5 a game this season; Vasco DA Gama score 1.7.

Match preview

Palmeiras host Vasco DA Gama in the Copa Do Brasil (Semi-finals) on Sunday, 1 November 2026.

Palmeiras come into the game with a form of DWLWW (newest first; 3 wins in their last 5), while Vasco DA Gama have WLLW (newest first; 2 wins in their last 4).

This season Palmeiras score 1.8 and concede 0.7 goals a game; Vasco DA Gama score 1.3 and concede 1.5.

In their last 5 meetings, Palmeiras won 4, Vasco DA Gama won 1 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 90% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama?

Our model gives Palmeiras 45%, the draw 45% and Vasco DA Gama 10%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (90% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 54% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 51% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Palmeiras 2 - 1 Vasco DA Gama. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 90% confidence.

When is Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama?

Kick-off is Sunday, 1 November 2026, 19:00 UTC. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
PalmeirasVasco DA Gama
Goals scored
1.81.3
Goals conceded
0.71.5
Clean sheets
47%13%

Model comparison

Percent
PalmeirasVasco DA Gama
Form
48%52%
Attack
60%40%
Defence
43%57%
Poisson model
100%0%
Head to head
80%20%
Goals
77%23%
Overall
62%38%
Form, last 5 games
67%73%
Goals scored, last 5
12.08.0
Goals conceded, last 5
4.03.0
Goal forecast: Palmeiras Under 2.5, Vasco DA Gama Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw