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Meistriliiga · Regular Season - 33
Nõmme United
4 - 2Full time
Vaprus
Referee: K. Laane

Nõmme United vs Vaprus Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.30
80%
Confidence · High
Nõmme UnitedDrawVaprus
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS
Yes
65%
Correct score
1-1
9%
HT/FT
1/1
26%
Double chance
1X
80%
Avg goals
3.6
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Nõmme United or draw.
  • Recent form: Nõmme United LLLLW, Vaprus LLDDL (oldest to newest).
  • Nõmme United score 1.6 a game this season; Vaprus score 1.3.

Match preview

Nõmme United host Vaprus in the Meistriliiga (Regular Season - 33) on Friday, 23 October 2026.

This season Nõmme United score 1.6 and concede 2.3 goals a game; Vaprus score 1.4 and concede 2.0.

In their last 5 meetings, Nõmme United won 3, Vaprus won 2 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 80% confidence, priced at 1.30.

Quick answers

Who will win Nõmme United vs Vaprus?

Our model gives Nõmme United 45%, the draw 35% and Vaprus 20%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (80% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 65% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 65% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Nõmme United 1 - 1 Vaprus. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 80% confidence at odds of 1.30.

When is Nõmme United vs Vaprus?

Kick-off is Friday, 23 October 2026, 16:00 UTC. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. 7'M. LimbergAssist: T. Pajo
  2. 27'M. Villota
  3. E. OunapuuAssist: A. Frolov33'
  4. R. Chanda ⇄ A. Alteberg46'
  5. S. GeigerAssist: A. Torres59'
  6. K. Laanelaid ⇄ M. Miil65'
  7. A. Torres65'
  8. 67'T. Pajo
  9. 67'J. Poder ⇄ K. Kauber
  10. E. OunapuuAssist: H. Jarvelaid68'
  11. E. Ounapuu ⇄ K. Oostenbrink72'
  12. A. TorresAssist: H. Jarvelaid72'
  13. 79'M. Seppik
  14. Z. Beglarishvili ⇄ K. Matas82'
  15. A. Frolov ⇄ G. Kabal82'
  16. 82'T. Pajo ⇄ R. Orm
  17. 82'V. Vallik ⇄ A. Korre
  18. M. Palts83'
  19. 85'R. Orm
  20. G. Kabal88'
  21. 90+1'M. Villota ⇄ S. Aer
  22. 90+1'M. Limberg ⇄ O. Vahemets