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Meistriliiga · Regular Season - 34
Vaprus
Kuressaare
Parnu Rannastaadion

Vaprus vs Kuressaare Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.44
77%
Confidence · Good
VaprusDrawKuressaare
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS
Yes
59%
Correct score
1-1
10%
HT/FT
1/1
22%
Double chance
1X
77%
Avg goals
3.0
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Vaprus or draw.
  • Recent form: Vaprus LDDLL, Kuressaare DWWLL (oldest to newest).
  • Vaprus score 1.4 a game this season; Kuressaare score 1.0.

Match preview

Vaprus host Kuressaare in the Meistriliiga (Regular Season - 34) on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at Parnu Rannastaadion.

Vaprus come into the game with a form of LLD (newest first; 0 wins in their last 3), while Kuressaare have LLW (newest first; 1 win in their last 3).

This season Vaprus score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals a game; Kuressaare score 1.0 and concede 1.6.

In their last 5 meetings, Vaprus won 3, Kuressaare won 1 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 77% confidence, priced at 1.44.

Quick answers

Who will win Vaprus vs Kuressaare?

Our model gives Vaprus 42%, the draw 35% and Kuressaare 23%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (77% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 59% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 57% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Vaprus 1 - 1 Kuressaare. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 77% confidence at odds of 1.44.

When is Vaprus vs Kuressaare?

Kick-off is Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 16:00 UTC at Parnu Rannastaadion. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
VaprusKuressaare
Goals scored
1.41.0
Goals conceded
2.01.6
Clean sheets
18%15%

Model comparison

Percent
VaprusKuressaare
Form
22%78%
Attack
73%27%
Defence
19%81%
Poisson model
60%40%
Head to head
71%29%
Goals
72%28%
Overall
53%47%
Form, last 5 games
13%47%
Goals scored, last 5
8.03.0
Goals conceded, last 5
13.03.0
Goal forecast: Vaprus Under 2.5, Kuressaare Under 1.5Model verdict: Win or draw