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Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 30
New York Red Bulls
0 - 2Full time
Toronto FC
Sports Illustrated Stadium · Referee: Marcos De Oliveira

New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.33
80%
Confidence · High
New York Red BullsDrawToronto FC
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS
Yes
69%
Correct score
2-1
8%
HT/FT
1/1
29%
Double chance
1X
80%
Avg goals
3.4
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : New York Red Bulls or draw.
  • Recent form: New York Red Bulls LWWLW, Toronto FC WLLLW (oldest to newest).
  • New York Red Bulls score 1.4 a game this season; Toronto FC score 1.5.

Match preview

New York Red Bulls host Toronto FC in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 30) on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Sports Illustrated Stadium.

This season New York Red Bulls score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals a game; Toronto FC score 1.5 and concede 1.8.

In their last 5 meetings, New York Red Bulls won 2, Toronto FC won 0 and 3 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 80% confidence, priced at 1.33.

Quick answers

Who will win New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC?

Our model gives New York Red Bulls 46%, the draw 34% and Toronto FC 20%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (80% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 69% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 70% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is New York Red Bulls 2 - 1 Toronto FC. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 80% confidence at odds of 1.33.

When is New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC?

Kick-off is Saturday, 17 October 2026, 23:30 UTC at Sports Illustrated Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. 3'Justin CheOwn goal
  2. 28'Kobe Franklin ⇄ Jackson Gilman
  3. Adri Mehmeti ⇄ Emil Forsberg45'
  4. Cade Cowell ⇄ Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting45'
  5. 52'Zane Monlouis
  6. Cameron Harper ⇄ Jorge Ruvalcaba60'
  7. Dylan Nealis ⇄ Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty60'
  8. 67'Lewis Morgan
  9. 68'Theo Corbeanu ⇄ Derrick Etienne Jr.
  10. 68'Djordje Mihailovic ⇄ Dániel Sallói
  11. Justin Che ⇄ Pedro Castro71'
  12. 82'Dániel SallóiAssist: Jonathan Osorio
  13. 86'Lewis Morgan ⇄ Alonso
  14. 86'Josh Sargent ⇄ Richard Chukwu
  15. 87'Derrick Etienne Jr.

Match stats

New York Red BullsToronto FC
Possession
68%32%
Expected goals (xG)
1.010.66
Shots
156
Shots on target
44
Corners
71
Fouls
1415
Offsides
31
Yellow cards
03
Red cards
00
Saves
33
Passes
517249