Necaxa vs Atlas Prediction, Odds & Tips
Draw or Away (X2)Odds1.36
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
55%
Why we like it
- Model advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Atlas and +1.5 goals.
- Recent form: Necaxa DLLLD, Atlas DLDWD (oldest to newest).
- Necaxa score 1.4 a game this season; Atlas score 1.5.
Match preview
Necaxa host Atlas in the Liga MX (Apertura - 12) on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Estadio Victoria.
This season Necaxa score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals a game; Atlas score 1.6 and concede 1.8.
In their last 5 meetings, Necaxa won 1, Atlas won 3 and 1 ended level.
Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 78% confidence, priced at 1.36.
Quick answers
Who will win Necaxa vs Atlas?
Our model gives Necaxa 22%, the draw 36% and Atlas 42%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (78% confidence).
Will both teams score?
Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 59% confidence.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 55% confidence.
What is the predicted correct score?
Our most likely score is Necaxa 1 - 1 Atlas. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.
What is the safest bet?
Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 78% confidence at odds of 1.36.
When is Necaxa vs Atlas?
Kick-off is Saturday, 17 October 2026, 01:00 UTC at Estadio Victoria. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.
Match events
- 5'Ryan MmaeeAssist: Florián Monzón●
- 5'Florián MonzónGoal confirmedVAR
- ⇄Matias Espindola ⇄ Javier Ruiz64'
- 67'Elías MontielCard upgrade confirmedVAR
- 67'Milton Valenzuela
- 70'Ryan Mmaee ⇄ Jorge Rodríguez⇄
- ⇄Pedro Pedraza ⇄ Juan Valencia74'
- ⇄Emilio Martínez ⇄ Leonardo Abimael Becerra Ramos74'
- 76'Luís André Leite Esteves ⇄ Edgar Zaldívar⇄
- 76'Kevin Zenon ⇄ Manuel Capasso⇄
- 77'Adonis Frías
- ⇄Carlos Vargas ⇄ Miguel Pedroza81'
- ⇄Owen González ⇄ Rogelio Cortéz82'
- 85'Jorge Sánchez ⇄ Gaddi Aguirre⇄
- 90'Manuel Capasso●
- Diego Ochoa90+3'
Match stats
NecaxaAtlas
Expected goals (xG)
1.852.19
Key stats
Per game, this seasonNecaxaAtlas
Model comparison
PercentNecaxaAtlas
Goals scored, last 5
7.08.0
Goals conceded, last 5
12.010.0
Goal forecast: Necaxa Under 2.5, Atlas Under 3.5Model verdict: Win or draw
Necaxa · last 0
0W 0D 0LNo matches.
Atlas · last 0
0W 0D 0LNo matches.
Head to head
Last 10Jul 2026Atlas0-0Necaxa
Jan 2026Necaxa0-1Atlas
Dec 2025Atlas5-3Necaxa
Sept 2025Atlas3-2Necaxa
Feb 2025Atlas0-4Necaxa
Dec 2024Atlas1-2Necaxa
Nov 2024Necaxa0-0Atlas
Jan 2024Necaxa2-1Atlas
Nov 2023Atlas0-0Necaxa
Apr 2023Necaxa1-3Atlas
Best available odds
DecimalHT/FT
1/X13.00
1/223.00
X/26.50
X/X6.00
1/14.33
X/16.50
2/123.00
2/X13.00
2/24.00
Correct score
1-16.50
1-29.50
0-110.00
2-111.00
2-211.00
1-012.00
0-013.00
0-213.00
2-017.00
1-317.00
3-121.00
0-321.00
3-026.00
Highlighted = our pick. Odds change; check with the bookmaker before betting.
Confirmed line-ups
ConfirmedNecaxa 4-1-4-1
181Javier Orantes
2E. Martínez
15D. Ochoa
3A. Oliveros
88C. Vargas
16P. Pedraza
99M. Rodríguez
6D. Leyva
21M. Espíndola
13Owen de Jesús González Ojeda
9J. Carranza
Atlas 4-2-2-2
12C. Vargas
3J. Sánchez
19A. Frías
44J. Purata
16M. Valenzuela
18E. Montiel
15Paulo Ramírez
20K. Zenón
10Luís Esteves
9F. Monzón
8R. Mmaee
