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Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C · Group C - 7
Nazarenos
Sertanense

Nazarenos vs Sertanense Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds–
90%
Confidence · High
NazarenosDrawSertanense
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS
Yes
51%
Correct score
1-1
8%
HT/FT
2/2
28%
Double chance
X2
90%
Avg goals
2.5
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Sertanense and -3.5 goals.
  • Recent form: Nazarenos LLLWD, Sertanense LDLDD (oldest to newest).
  • Nazarenos score 0.8 a game this season; Sertanense score 0.8.

Match preview

Nazarenos host Sertanense in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C (Group C - 7) on Sunday, 1 November 2026.

This season Nazarenos score 0.8 and concede 2.0 goals a game; Sertanense score 0.8 and concede 1.5.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 90% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win Nazarenos vs Sertanense?

Our model gives Nazarenos 10%, the draw 45% and Sertanense 45%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (90% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 51% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 53% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Nazarenos 1 - 1 Sertanense. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 90% confidence.

When is Nazarenos vs Sertanense?

Kick-off is Sunday, 1 November 2026, 15:00 UTC. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
NazarenosSertanense
Goals scored
0.80.8
Goals conceded
2.01.5
Clean sheets
0%17%

Model comparison

Percent
NazarenosSertanense
Form
57%43%
Attack
50%50%
Defence
47%53%
Poisson model
36%64%
Overall
48%53%
Form, last 5 games
27%20%
Goals scored, last 5
4.04.0
Goals conceded, last 5
9.08.0
Goal forecast: Nazarenos Under 1.5, Sertanense Under 1.5Model verdict: Win or draw

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