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Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C · Group C - 7
Mortágua
FC Alverca II

Mortágua vs FC Alverca II Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds–
90%
Confidence · High
MortáguaDrawFC Alverca II
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS
Yes
55%
Correct score
2-1
8%
HT/FT
1/1
28%
Double chance
1X
90%
Avg goals
2.8
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Mortágua or draw.
  • Recent form: Mortágua WWDLW, FC Alverca II LLWLW (oldest to newest).
  • Mortágua score 1.8 a game this season; FC Alverca II score 1.7.

Match preview

Mortágua host FC Alverca II in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C (Group C - 7) on Sunday, 1 November 2026.

This season Mortágua score 1.8 and concede 0.8 goals a game; FC Alverca II score 1.7 and concede 1.2.

In their last 4 meetings, Mortágua won 2, FC Alverca II won 0 and 2 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 90% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win Mortágua vs FC Alverca II?

Our model gives Mortágua 45%, the draw 45% and FC Alverca II 10%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (90% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 55% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 52% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Mortágua 2 - 1 FC Alverca II. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 90% confidence.

When is Mortágua vs FC Alverca II?

Kick-off is Sunday, 1 November 2026, 15:00 UTC. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
MortáguaFC Alverca II
Goals scored
1.81.7
Goals conceded
0.81.2
Clean sheets
17%33%

Model comparison

Percent
MortáguaFC Alverca II
Form
63%38%
Attack
47%53%
Defence
56%44%
Poisson model
82%18%
Head to head
80%20%
Goals
67%33%
Overall
66%34%
Form, last 5 games
67%40%
Goals scored, last 5
8.09.0
Goals conceded, last 5
4.05.0
Goal forecast: Mortágua Under 2.5, FC Alverca II Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw

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