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Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 29
Nashville SC
4 - 0Full time
Sporting Kansas City
Geodis Park · Referee: Joshua Encarnacion

Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home Win
Odds1.17
63%
Confidence · Fair
Nashville SCDrawSporting Kansas City
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
73%
BTTS
Yes
56%
Correct score
2-0
8%
HT/FT
1/1
50%
Double chance
1X
92%
Avg goals
3.3
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Winner : Nashville SC and +1.5 goals.
  • Recent form: Nashville SC LDWWW, Sporting Kansas City WLWLD (oldest to newest).
  • Nashville SC score 2.1 a game this season; Sporting Kansas City score 1.3.

Match preview

Nashville SC host Sporting Kansas City in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 29) on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at Geodis Park.

This season Nashville SC score 2.1 and concede 0.8 goals a game; Sporting Kansas City score 1.2 and concede 2.5.

In their last 5 meetings, Nashville SC won 3, Sporting Kansas City won 2 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home Win with 63% confidence, priced at 1.17.

Quick answers

Who will win Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City?

Our model gives Nashville SC 63%, the draw 29% and Sporting Kansas City 8%. Our tip is Home Win (63% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 56% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 73% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Nashville SC 2 - 0 Sporting Kansas City. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 92% confidence at odds of 1.06.

When is Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City?

Kick-off is Thursday, 15 October 2026, 00:30 UTC at Geodis Park. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. Hany MukhtarAssist: Andy Najar10'
  2. Sam SurridgeAssist: Hany Mukhtar17'
  3. Andy NajarAssist: Cristian Espinoza29'
  4. 45'Zorhan Bassong ⇄ Jacob Bartlett
  5. 45'André Luiz ⇄ Calvin Harris
  6. 53'Seymour Garfield-Reid ⇄ Taylor Calheira
  7. Sam SurridgeGoal cancelled65'
  8. Andy Najar ⇄ Daniel Lovitz68'
  9. Cristian Espinoza ⇄ Shakur Mohammed68'
  10. 69'Ian James ⇄ Jacob Davis
  11. matthew corcoran ⇄ Bryan Acosta76'
  12. Hany Mukhtar ⇄ Warren Madrigal76'
  13. 81'Jayden Reid ⇄ Emir Karic
  14. Sam Surridge ⇄ Alex Muyl83'
  15. Warren MadrigalPenalty confirmed90+3'
  16. Warren MadrigalPenalty90+5'

Match stats

Nashville SCSporting Kansas City
Possession
49%51%
Expected goals (xG)
3.810.49
Shots
188
Shots on target
111
Corners
74
Fouls
1410
Offsides
12
Yellow cards
00
Red cards
00
Saves
16
Passes
376387