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Serie A · Regular Season - 8
Napoli
3 - 3Full time
AS Roma
Maradona Stadium · Referee: Andrea Colombo

Napoli vs AS Roma Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds1.44
77%
Confidence · Good
NapoliDrawAS Roma
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS
Yes
58%
Correct score
1-1
12%
HT/FT
2/2
21%
Double chance
X2
77%
Avg goals
2.5
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Double chance : draw or AS Roma and -3.5 goals.
  • Recent form: Napoli LWDWL, AS Roma WWDDW (oldest to newest).
  • Napoli score 1.4 a game this season; AS Roma score 2.3.

Match preview

Napoli host AS Roma in the Serie A (Regular Season - 8) on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at Maradona Stadium.

Napoli come into the game with a form of WLL (newest first; 1 win in their last 3), while AS Roma have WWL (newest first; 2 wins in their last 3).

This season Napoli score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals a game; AS Roma score 2.3 and concede 0.4.

In their last 5 meetings, Napoli won 2, AS Roma won 0 and 3 ended level.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 77% confidence, priced at 1.44.

Quick answers

Who will win Napoli vs AS Roma?

Our model gives Napoli 23%, the draw 37% and AS Roma 40%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (77% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 58% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 53% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Napoli 1 - 1 AS Roma. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 77% confidence at odds of 1.44.

When is Napoli vs AS Roma?

Kick-off is Saturday, 24 October 2026, 16:00 UTC at Maradona Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. Rafael Marin Zamora4'
  2. Frank Anguissa28'
  3. 30'Bryan Cristante
  4. 45'Devyne Rensch
  5. Scott McTominayAssist: Matteo Politano48'
  6. Benoît Badiashile ⇄ Sam Beukema52'
  7. 58'Devyne Rensch ⇄ Nahuel Molina
  8. 58'Mario Hermoso ⇄ Leonardo Balerdi
  9. 58'Niccolò Pisilli ⇄ Santiago Thomas Castro
  10. 61'Leonardo Balerdi
  11. Matteo Politano ⇄ Giovane Santana Do Nascimento66'
  12. 69'Matias SouleAssist: Donyell Malen
  13. 74'Leonardo BalerdiAssist: Santiago Thomas Castro
  14. Kevin De Bruyne ⇄ Stanislav Lobotka79'
  15. Noa Lang ⇄ Antonio Vergara79'
  16. Giovanni Di Lorenzo ⇄ Leonardo Spinazzola80'
  17. Scott McTominayAssist: Mathias Olivera83'
  18. 84'Donyell Malen ⇄ Rodrigo Mora
  19. 84'Gianluca Mancini ⇄ Daniele Ghilardi
  20. 86'Marten de Roon
  21. 89'Leonardo BalerdiAssist: Wesley Vinícius França Lima
  22. Massimiliano Allegri90'

Match stats

NapoliAS Roma
Possession
40%60%
Expected goals (xG)
2.421.92
Shots
1524
Shots on target
94
Corners
211
Fouls
611
Offsides
01
Yellow cards
14
Red cards
00
Saves
15
Passes
378580