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Championship · Regular Season - 12
Morton
Ayr Utd
Cappielow Park · Referee: K. Clancy

Morton vs Ayr Utd Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds1.30
80%
Confidence · High
MortonDrawAyr Utd
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS
Yes
51%
Correct score
1-1
11%
HT/FT
2/2
24%
Double chance
X2
80%
Avg goals
2.2
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : draw or Ayr Utd.
  • Recent form: Morton LLLWW, Ayr Utd WLWDL (oldest to newest).
  • Morton score 0.8 a game this season; Ayr Utd score 0.9.

Match preview

Morton host Ayr Utd in the Championship (Regular Season - 12) on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at Cappielow Park.

This season Morton score 0.8 and concede 1.6 goals a game; Ayr Utd score 0.9 and concede 1.1.

In their last 5 meetings, Morton won 1, Ayr Utd won 1 and 3 ended level.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 80% confidence, priced at 1.30.

Quick answers

Who will win Morton vs Ayr Utd?

Our model gives Morton 20%, the draw 36% and Ayr Utd 43%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (80% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 51% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 51% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Morton 1 - 1 Ayr Utd. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 80% confidence at odds of 1.30.

When is Morton vs Ayr Utd?

Kick-off is Saturday, 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC at Cappielow Park. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
MortonAyr Utd
Goals scored
0.80.9
Goals conceded
1.61.1
Clean sheets
9%18%

Model comparison

Percent
MortonAyr Utd
Form
46%54%
Attack
50%50%
Defence
40%60%
Poisson model
27%73%
Head to head
50%50%
Goals
50%50%
Overall
44%56%
Form, last 5 games
40%47%
Goals scored, last 5
5.05.0
Goals conceded, last 5
6.04.0
Goal forecast: Morton Under 1.5, Ayr Utd Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw