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Championship · Regular Season - 9
Stenhousemuir
Dunfermline
Ochilview Park · Referee: G. Irvine

Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Banker of the Day
Draw or Away (X2)
Odds1.22
83%
Confidence · High
StenhousemuirDrawDunfermline
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS
No
51%
Correct score
1-1
11%
HT/FT
2/2
27%
Double chance
X2
83%
Avg goals
1.6
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Dunfermline and -3.5 goals.
  • Recent form: Stenhousemuir WWWLD, Dunfermline WWDDD (oldest to newest).
  • Stenhousemuir score 1.3 a game this season; Dunfermline score 0.8.

Match preview

Stenhousemuir host Dunfermline in the Championship (Regular Season - 9) on Tuesday, 27 October 2026 at Ochilview Park.

Dunfermline have WDD (newest first; 1 win in their last 3).

This season Stenhousemuir score 1.3 and concede 0.5 goals a game; Dunfermline score 0.8 and concede 0.6.

In their last 5 meetings, Stenhousemuir won 0, Dunfermline won 5 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 83% confidence, priced at 1.22.

Quick answers

Who will win Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline?

Our model gives Stenhousemuir 17%, the draw 36% and Dunfermline 47%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (83% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 51% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 57% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Stenhousemuir 1 - 1 Dunfermline. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 83% confidence at odds of 1.22.

When is Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline?

Kick-off is Tuesday, 27 October 2026, 19:45 UTC at Ochilview Park. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
StenhousemuirDunfermline
Goals scored
1.30.8
Goals conceded
0.50.6
Clean sheets
60%50%

Model comparison

Percent
StenhousemuirDunfermline
Form
53%47%
Attack
44%56%
Defence
40%60%
Poisson model
80%20%
Head to head
0%100%
Goals
6%94%
Overall
45%55%
Form, last 5 games
67%60%
Goals scored, last 5
4.05.0
Goals conceded, last 5
3.02.0
Goal forecast: Stenhousemuir Under 1.5, Dunfermline Under 1.5Model verdict: Win or draw