Skip to content
Register
Serie A · Regular Season - 9
Monza
Napoli

Monza vs Napoli Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds1.17
85%
Confidence · High
MonzaDrawNapoli
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS
Yes
55%
Correct score
1-1
10%
HT/FT
2/2
31%
Double chance
X2
85%
Avg goals
3.5
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : draw or Napoli.
  • Recent form: Monza LWLWL, Napoli WDWLD (oldest to newest).
  • Monza score 1.9 a game this season; Napoli score 1.6.

Match preview

Monza host Napoli in the Serie A (Regular Season - 9) on Wednesday, 28 October 2026.

Napoli have DWLL (newest first; 1 win in their last 4).

This season Monza score 1.9 and concede 2.3 goals a game; Napoli score 1.6 and concede 1.3.

In their last 5 meetings, Monza won 1, Napoli won 3 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 85% confidence, priced at 1.17.

Quick answers

Who will win Monza vs Napoli?

Our model gives Monza 15%, the draw 34% and Napoli 51%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (85% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 55% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 55% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Monza 1 - 1 Napoli. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 85% confidence at odds of 1.17.

When is Monza vs Napoli?

Kick-off is Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 19:45 UTC. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
MonzaNapoli
Goals scored
1.91.6
Goals conceded
2.31.3
Clean sheets
13%38%

Model comparison

Percent
MonzaNapoli
Form
43%57%
Attack
58%42%
Defence
33%67%
Poisson model
64%36%
Head to head
29%71%
Goals
36%64%
Overall
44%56%
Form, last 5 games
40%53%
Goals scored, last 5
11.08.0
Goals conceded, last 5
10.05.0
Goal forecast: Monza Under 3.5, Napoli Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw