Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas Prediction, Odds & Tips
Home or Draw (1X)Odds1.36
MonterreyDrawGuadalajara Chivas
43%36%21%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
55%
Why we like it
- Model advice: Double chance : Monterrey or draw.
- Recent form: Monterrey WLDWW, Guadalajara Chivas DLDDW (oldest to newest).
- Monterrey score 1.9 a game this season; Guadalajara Chivas score 1.5.
Match preview
Monterrey host Guadalajara Chivas in the Liga MX (Apertura - 14) on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at Estadio BBVA.
This season Monterrey score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals a game; Guadalajara Chivas score 1.5 and concede 0.9.
In their last 5 meetings, Monterrey won 1, Guadalajara Chivas won 3 and 1 ended level.
Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 79% confidence, priced at 1.36.
Quick answers
Who will win Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Our model gives Monterrey 43%, the draw 36% and Guadalajara Chivas 21%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (79% confidence).
Will both teams score?
Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 59% confidence.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 55% confidence.
What is the predicted correct score?
Our most likely score is Monterrey 1 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.
What is the safest bet?
Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 79% confidence at odds of 1.36.
When is Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Kick-off is Sunday, 25 October 2026, 02:00 UTC at Estadio BBVA. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.
Match events
- 9'Roberto AlvaradoAssist: Santiago Sandoval●
- ✕Lucas Ocampos19'
- ⇄Fidel Ambriz ⇄ Óliver Torres56'
- 60'Richard Ledezma ⇄ Efrain Alvarez⇄
- 66'Ricardo Marín ⇄ Kevin Castañeda⇄
- 66'Omar Govea ⇄ Jesús Hernández⇄
- ⇄César Garza ⇄ Paxon Levi Ruffin Tamez71'
- 79'Bryan Gonzalez ⇄ Leonel Calderón Oviedo⇄
- 79'Daniel Aguirre ⇄ A. Chávez⇄
- ⇄Jesús Corona ⇄ Lucas Orellano79'
- Paxon Levi Ruffin Tamez82'
- Diego Rossi88'
- Orbelín Pineda90'
- VARDiego RossiGoal cancelled90+8'
Match stats
MonterreyGuadalajara Chivas
Expected goals (xG)
1.891.32
Key stats
Per game, this seasonMonterreyGuadalajara Chivas
Model comparison
PercentMonterreyGuadalajara Chivas
Goals scored, last 5
10.05.0
Goals conceded, last 5
7.06.0
Goal forecast: Monterrey Under 2.5, Guadalajara Chivas Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw
Monterrey · last 2
2W 0D 0L22 OctAPuebla1-4W
19 OctHCF Pachuca2-1W
Guadalajara Chivas · last 2
1W 1D 0L21 OctHNecaxa1-0W
17 OctHTigres UANL1-1D
Head to head
Last 10Mar 2026Monterrey2-3Guadalajara Chivas
Nov 2025Guadalajara Chivas4-2Monterrey
Apr 2025Monterrey3-1Guadalajara Chivas
Sept 2024Guadalajara Chivas1-1Monterrey
Mar 2024Monterrey0-2Guadalajara Chivas
Sept 2023Guadalajara Chivas1-2Monterrey
Jan 2023Monterrey0-1Guadalajara Chivas
Aug 2022Guadalajara Chivas1-0Monterrey
Apr 2022Guadalajara Chivas1-3Monterrey
Aug 2021Monterrey0-0Guadalajara Chivas
Best available odds
DecimalHT/FT
1/X13.00
1/226.00
X/27.00
X/X6.00
1/13.60
X/16.00
2/123.00
2/X13.00
2/24.75
Correct score
1-16.50
1-09.50
2-19.50
2-012.00
2-212.00
0-112.00
1-212.00
0-013.00
3-117.00
0-217.00
3-021.00
3-223.00
1-323.00
Highlighted = our pick. Odds change; check with the bookmaker before betting.
Confirmed line-ups
ConfirmedMonterrey 4-1-3-2
1E. Andrada
2R. Chávez
5F. Ambríz
4V. Guzmán
3G. Arteaga
18Cesar Garza Cantu
7L. Ocampos
25O. Pineda
17J. Corona
9D. Rossi
99H. Cuypers
Guadalajara Chivas 3-4-2-1
1J. Rangel
23D. Aguirre
16L. Rey
3D. Campillo
37R. Ledezma
28R. González
6O. Govea
5B. González
25R. Alvarado
30Santiago Sandoval
17R. Marín
