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Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 30
Minnesota United FC
3 - 2Full time
St. Louis City
Allianz Field · Referee: Ramy Touchan

Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds1.50
76%
Confidence · Good
Minnesota United FCDrawSt. Louis City
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS
Yes
65%
Correct score
1-1
10%
HT/FT
1/1
22%
Double chance
X2
76%
Avg goals
3.3
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Double chance : draw or St. Louis City and +1.5 goals.
  • Recent form: Minnesota United FC LLLLD, St. Louis City DWWWW (oldest to newest).
  • Minnesota United FC score 1.5 a game this season; St. Louis City score 1.9.

Match preview

Minnesota United FC host St. Louis City in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 30) on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Allianz Field.

This season Minnesota United FC score 1.6 and concede 1.8 goals a game; St. Louis City score 1.9 and concede 1.4.

In their last 5 meetings, Minnesota United FC won 4, St. Louis City won 1 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 76% confidence, priced at 1.50.

Quick answers

Who will win Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City?

Our model gives Minnesota United FC 24%, the draw 35% and St. Louis City 41%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (76% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 65% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 63% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Minnesota United FC 1 - 1 St. Louis City. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 76% confidence at odds of 1.50.

When is Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City?

Kick-off is Saturday, 17 October 2026, 20:30 UTC at Allianz Field. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. 4'Rafael Navarro Leal
  2. 10'Sang-bin JungAssist: Rafael Navarro Leal
  3. Aziel Jackson24'
  4. 26'Miguel Perez
  5. 45'Dante Polvara ⇄ Daniel Edelman
  6. 45'Tomas Totland ⇄ Rafael Santos
  7. Aziel JacksonAssist: Kelvin Yeboah49'
  8. 51'Sang-bin Jung
  9. Kelvin YeboahAssist: Mauricio González Carabalí68'
  10. 69'Simon Becher ⇄ Damion Downs
  11. 69'Sang-bin Jung ⇄ Lukas MacNaughton
  12. Mauricio González Carabalí ⇄ Marcus Caldeira70'
  13. Aziel Jackson ⇄ Joaquín Pereyra79'
  14. 82'Mykhi Joyner ⇄ Tomas Ostrak
  15. Marcus CaldeiraAssist: Joaquín Pereyra86'
  16. Jefferson Abel Díaz Beleño90'
  17. Kelvin Yeboah ⇄ Tomás Chancalay90+2'
  18. Cherrion Valerius ⇄ Michael Boxall90+2'

Match stats

Minnesota United FCSt. Louis City
Possession
45%55%
Expected goals (xG)
2.671.23
Shots
2715
Shots on target
116
Corners
67
Fouls
1415
Offsides
02
Yellow cards
22
Red cards
00
Saves
47
Passes
338419