Marseille vs Toulouse Prediction, Odds & Tips
Our Prediction
- Model advice: Combo Double chance : Marseille or draw and +1.5 goals.
- Recent form: Marseille LLWWW, Toulouse DWDWD (oldest to newest).
- Marseille score 2.3 a game this season; Toulouse score 1.5.
Match preview
Marseille host Toulouse in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 9) on Sunday, 1 November 2026 at Orange Vélodrome.
Marseille come into the game with a form of WLWL (newest first; 2 wins in their last 4).
This season Marseille score 2.3 and concede 1.6 goals a game; Toulouse score 1.5 and concede 1.4.
In their last 5 meetings, Marseille won 3, Toulouse won 0 and 2 ended level.
Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 82% confidence, priced at 1.28.
Quick answers
Who will win Marseille vs Toulouse?
Our model gives Marseille 48%, the draw 35% and Toulouse 18%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (82% confidence).
Will both teams score?
Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 63% confidence.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 62% confidence.
What is the predicted correct score?
Our most likely score is Marseille 1 - 1 Toulouse. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.
What is the safest bet?
Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 82% confidence at odds of 1.28.
When is Marseille vs Toulouse?
Kick-off is Sunday, 1 November 2026, 19:45 UTC at Orange Vélodrome. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.
Key stats
Model comparison
Marseille · last 4
Toulouse · last 2
Head to head
Best available odds
Ligue 1 table
Line-ups
Line-ups are usually confirmed 1 hour before kick-off.