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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 9
Lille
Lens
Stade Pierre-Mauroy · Referee: Jerome Brisard

Lille vs Lens Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.40
77%
Confidence · Good
LilleDrawLens
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS
Yes
59%
Correct score
1-1
10%
HT/FT
1/1
22%
Double chance
1X
77%
Avg goals
2.9
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Lille or draw.
  • Recent form: Lille WLWDD, Lens DLWWW (oldest to newest).
  • Lille score 1.4 a game this season; Lens score 2.0.

Match preview

Lille host Lens in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 9) on Friday, 30 October 2026 at Stade Pierre-Mauroy.

Lille come into the game with a form of DDL (newest first; 0 wins in their last 3), while Lens have WWL (newest first; 2 wins in their last 3).

This season Lille score 1.4 and concede 0.8 goals a game; Lens score 2.0 and concede 1.5.

In their last 5 meetings, Lille won 4, Lens won 1 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 77% confidence, priced at 1.40.

Quick answers

Who will win Lille vs Lens?

Our model gives Lille 42%, the draw 35% and Lens 23%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (77% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 59% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 55% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Lille 1 - 1 Lens. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 77% confidence at odds of 1.40.

When is Lille vs Lens?

Kick-off is Friday, 30 October 2026, 20:05 UTC at Stade Pierre-Mauroy. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
LilleLens
Goals scored
1.42.0
Goals conceded
0.81.5
Clean sheets
50%0%

Model comparison

Percent
LilleLens
Form
44%56%
Attack
38%63%
Defence
64%36%
Poisson model
63%37%
Head to head
80%20%
Goals
67%33%
Overall
59%41%
Form, last 5 games
53%67%
Goals scored, last 5
6.010.0
Goals conceded, last 5
4.07.0
Goal forecast: Lille Under 2.5, Lens Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw