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La Liga · Regular Season - 9
Malaga
2 - 5Full time
Real Sociedad
La Rosaleda · Referee: Luis Bestard Servera

Malaga vs Real Sociedad Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds1.36
80%
Confidence · High
MalagaDrawReal Sociedad
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS
Yes
61%
Correct score
1-1
10%
HT/FT
2/2
23%
Double chance
X2
80%
Avg goals
2.8
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : draw or Real Sociedad.
  • Recent form: Malaga DDLLD, Real Sociedad DWLWW (oldest to newest).
  • Malaga score 0.5 a game this season; Real Sociedad score 1.5.

Match preview

Malaga host Real Sociedad in the La Liga (Regular Season - 9) on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at La Rosaleda.

In their last 5 meetings, Malaga won 2, Real Sociedad won 2 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 80% confidence, priced at 1.36.

Quick answers

Who will win Malaga vs Real Sociedad?

Our model gives Malaga 20%, the draw 36% and Real Sociedad 44%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (80% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 61% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 57% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Malaga 1 - 1 Real Sociedad. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 80% confidence at odds of 1.36.

When is Malaga vs Real Sociedad?

Kick-off is Sunday, 18 October 2026, 16:30 UTC at La Rosaleda. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. 3'Takefusa KuboAssist: Hector Fort
  2. 26'Orri Steinn Óskarsson
  3. 37'Jon Martin
  4. Izan Merino ⇄ Ramón Enríquez45'
  5. José Salinas ⇄ Adam Aznou45'
  6. Adrian NinoAssist: Pablo Martínez Andrés54'
  7. 59'Mikel OyarzabalAssist: Takefusa Kubo
  8. 61'Ander Barrenetxea ⇄ Gonçalo Guedes
  9. 61'Hector Fort ⇄ Igor Zubeldia
  10. 62'Mamadou Sarr
  11. Carlos Dotor ⇄ Dani Lorenzo64'
  12. Pablo Martínez Andrés66'
  13. 67'Mikel OyarzabalAssist: Jon Martin
  14. David Larrubia ⇄ Joaquín Muñoz68'
  15. 71'Aihen Muñoz ⇄ Sergio Gómez
  16. 71'Takefusa Kubo ⇄ Job Ochieng
  17. 73'Gonçalo Guedes
  18. 79'Orri Steinn Óskarsson ⇄ Alex Marchal García
  19. Adrian Nino ⇄ Carlos Puga82'

Match stats

MalagaReal Sociedad
Possession
45%55%
Expected goals (xG)
1.102.43
Shots
1721
Shots on target
69
Corners
45
Fouls
49
Offsides
22
Yellow cards
02
Red cards
00
Saves
44
Passes
477589