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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 7
Lyon
2 - 1Full time
Nice
Groupama Stadium · Referee: Francois Letexier

Lyon vs Nice Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home Win
Odds1.83
48%
Confidence · Fair
LyonDrawNice
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS
Yes
58%
Correct score
1-1
10%
HT/FT
1/1
29%
Double chance
1X
83%
Avg goals
2.3
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Winner : Lyon.
  • Recent form: Lyon DWDWL, Nice LDLWW (oldest to newest).
  • Lyon score 1.8 a game this season; Nice score 0.8.

Match preview

Lyon host Nice in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 7) on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Groupama Stadium.

This season Lyon score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals a game; Nice score 0.9 and concede 1.3.

In their last 5 meetings, Lyon won 4, Nice won 1 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home Win with 48% confidence, priced at 1.83.

Quick answers

Who will win Lyon vs Nice?

Our model gives Lyon 48%, the draw 35% and Nice 17%. Our tip is Home Win (48% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 58% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 57% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Lyon 1 - 1 Nice. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 83% confidence at odds of 1.22.

When is Lyon vs Nice?

Kick-off is Sunday, 18 October 2026, 18:45 UTC at Groupama Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. 10'Niels Nkounkou
  2. 18'Sepe Elye WahiAssist: Jonathan Clauss
  3. Pavel Šulc32'
  4. Tanner TessmannAssist: Zachary Athekame36'
  5. 48'Mohamed Abdelmoneim
  6. Noah Teye Nartey ⇄ Corentin Tolisso61'
  7. Julien Duranville ⇄ Keito Nakamura61'
  8. 65'Mohamed Amoura
  9. Keito Nakamura70'
  10. Kail Boudache ⇄ Felix Bacher75'
  11. 81'Mohamed Abdelmoneim ⇄ Alidu Seidu
  12. Pavel Šulc ⇄ Khalis Merah81'
  13. Abner Vinicius ⇄ Ruben Kluivert81'
  14. 87'Xavier Mandza ⇄ Sofiane Diop
  15. 87'Axel Witsel ⇄ Morgan Sanson
  16. 87'Gauthier Hein ⇄ Isak Jansson
  17. 90+3'Sepe Elye WahiGoal cancelled
  18. 90+4'Sepe Elye Wahi

Match stats

LyonNice
Possession
48%52%
Expected goals (xG)
1.551.56
Shots
812
Shots on target
45
Corners
19
Fouls
614
Offsides
03
Yellow cards
04
Red cards
10
Saves
32
Passes
471502