Lorient vs Monaco Prediction, Odds & Tips
Draw or Away (X2)Odds1.28
LorientDrawMonaco
19%36%45%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
50%
Why we like it
- Model advice: Double chance : draw or Monaco.
- Recent form: Lorient LWDLW, Monaco WWDWD (oldest to newest).
- Lorient score 1.0 a game this season; Monaco score 1.7.
Match preview
Lorient host Monaco in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 7) on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Stade du Moustoir.
This season Lorient score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals a game; Monaco score 1.4 and concede 0.9.
In their last 5 meetings, Lorient won 2, Monaco won 1 and 2 ended level.
Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 81% confidence, priced at 1.28.
Quick answers
Who will win Lorient vs Monaco?
Our model gives Lorient 19%, the draw 36% and Monaco 45%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (81% confidence).
Will both teams score?
Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 52% confidence.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 50% confidence.
What is the predicted correct score?
Our most likely score is Lorient 1 - 1 Monaco. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.
What is the safest bet?
Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 81% confidence at odds of 1.28.
When is Lorient vs Monaco?
Kick-off is Sunday, 18 October 2026, 15:15 UTC at Stade du Moustoir. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.
Match events
- 52'Takumi Minamino ⇄ Edan Diop⇄
- 57'Mohammed Salisu
- 60'Denis Zakaria
- 60'Flavio Nazinho
- ●Noah CadiouPenalty61'
- 66'Ansu Fati ⇄ Folarin Balogun⇄
- 66'Denis Zakaria ⇄ Mathys Detourbet⇄
- 66'Mohammed Salisu ⇄ Christian Mawissa⇄
- Noah Cadiou66'
- ⇄Ibrahima Balde ⇄ Mamadou Kone71'
- 75'Matthis Abline ⇄ Mika Biereth⇄
- Arsène Kouassi76'
- ⇄Gabin Bernardeau ⇄ Souleymane Faye79'
- 80'Christian Mawissa
Match stats
LorientMonaco
Expected goals (xG)
1.660.71
Key stats
Per game, this seasonLorientMonaco
Model comparison
PercentLorientMonaco
Goals scored, last 5
6.09.0
Goals conceded, last 5
6.05.0
Goal forecast: Lorient Under 1.5, Monaco Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw
Lorient · last 0
0W 0D 0LNo matches.
Monaco · last 1
1W 0D 0L15 OctACSKA Sofia1-2W
Head to head
Last 10Jan 2026Monaco1-3Lorient
Sept 2025Lorient3-1Monaco
Mar 2024Monaco2-2Lorient
Sept 2023Lorient2-2Monaco
Apr 2023Monaco3-1Lorient
Jan 2023Lorient2-2Monaco
Feb 2022Monaco0-0Lorient
Aug 2021Lorient1-0Monaco
Feb 2021Monaco2-2Lorient
Jan 2021Lorient2-5Monaco
Best available odds
DecimalHT/FT
1/X15.00
1/223.00
X/25.00
X/X5.00
1/16.00
X/17.50
2/134.00
2/X13.00
2/23.40
Correct score
1-16.50
0-17.50
1-29.00
0-09.50
0-29.50
1-011.00
2-113.00
2-215.00
1-317.00
2-019.00
0-319.00
3-126.00
2-326.00
Highlighted = our pick. Odds change; check with the bookmaker before betting.
Confirmed line-ups
ConfirmedLorient 3-4-2-1
38Y. Mvogo
32N. Adjei
3M. Talbi
95S. Touré
20D. Sylla
8N. Cadiou
62A. Avom
43K. Kouassi
17J. Makengo
33G. Bernardeau
18I. Baldé
Monaco 4-2-3-1
1L. Hrádecký
2Vanderson
72Sadibou Sané
22M. Salisu
20Flávio Nazinho
8L. Camara
6D. Zakaria
18T. Minamino
31Ansu Fati
10A. Golovin
11M. Abline
Injuries and suspensions
Lorient: N. Mbamba, Muscle Injury, out
Monaco: E. Dier, Muscle Injury, doubtful
Monaco: P. Brunner, Suspended, out
Monaco: S. Idumbo, Injury, doubtful
