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Liga MX · Apertura - 12
Leon
3 - 5Full time
Club America
Estadio León · Referee: Ismael Rosario Lopez Penuelas

Leon vs Club America Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.70
62%
Confidence · Fair
LeonDrawClub America
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS
Yes
58%
Correct score
1-1
11%
HT/FT
2/2
26%
Double chance
1X
62%
Avg goals
2.9
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Leon or draw.
  • Recent form: Leon LWDWD, Club America WLDWD (oldest to newest).
  • Leon score 1.4 a game this season; Club America score 2.2.

Match preview

Leon host Club America in the Liga MX (Apertura - 12) on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Estadio León.

This season Leon score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals a game; Club America score 2.7 and concede 1.3.

In their last 5 meetings, Leon won 1, Club America won 2 and 2 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 62% confidence, priced at 1.70.

Quick answers

Who will win Leon vs Club America?

Our model gives Leon 31%, the draw 31% and Club America 38%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (62% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 58% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 55% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Leon 1 - 1 Club America. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 62% confidence at odds of 1.70.

When is Leon vs Club America?

Kick-off is Sunday, 18 October 2026, 01:00 UTC at Estadio León. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. 21'Franco RossanoPenalty confirmed
  2. 24'Henry MartinPenalty
  3. Jhohan Romana28'
  4. 34'Carlos ÁlvarezAssist: Henry Martin
  5. Jesús Lara ⇄ Jose Alvarado45'
  6. Daniel Arcila45+3'
  7. 45+6'Franco Rossano
  8. 45+7'Israel Reyes
  9. Jose AlvaradoAssist: Daniel Arcila53'
  10. 58'Erick SánchezAssist: Carlos Álvarez
  11. Juan Guevara61'
  12. Edgar Guerra ⇄ Ismael Díaz63'
  13. Jose Rodriguez ⇄ Juan Dominguez63'
  14. 74'Erick Sánchez ⇄ Edwin Cerrillo
  15. Daniel Arcila ⇄ Fernando Beltran75'
  16. 75'Franco Rossano ⇄ Cristian Borja
  17. 75'Álex Zendejas
  18. 80'Álex Zendejas ⇄ Isaias Violante
  19. Ivan Moreno82'
  20. 83'Israel Reyes ⇄ Alan Cervantes
  21. 83'Carlos Álvarez ⇄ Oscar Andres Perea Abonce
  22. 84'Oscar Andres Perea AbonceAssist: Brian Rodríguez
  23. 90'Brian RodríguezAssist: Oscar Andres Perea Abonce
  24. 90+1'Edwin Cerrillo
  25. Juan Dominguez90+1'
  26. Ismael DíazAssist: Fernando Beltran90+6'

Match stats

LeonClub America
Possession
55%45%
Expected goals (xG)
1.642.19
Shots
1315
Shots on target
710
Corners
72
Fouls
1125
Offsides
10
Yellow cards
44
Red cards
00
Saves
53
Passes
336293