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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 8
Lens
2 - 1Full time
Paris FC
Stade Bollaert-Delelis · Referee: Mathieu Vernice

Lens vs Paris FC Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.50
77%
Confidence · Good
LensDrawParis FC
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS
Yes
63%
Correct score
1-1
10%
HT/FT
1/1
21%
Double chance
1X
77%
Avg goals
3.1
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Lens or draw.
  • Recent form: Lens LDLWW, Paris FC WDWLW (oldest to newest).
  • Lens score 2.0 a game this season; Paris FC score 1.7.

Match preview

Lens host Paris FC in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 8) on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at Stade Bollaert-Delelis.

This season Lens score 2.0 and concede 1.6 goals a game; Paris FC score 1.7 and concede 1.0.

In their last 5 meetings, Lens won 3, Paris FC won 1 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 77% confidence, priced at 1.50.

Quick answers

Who will win Lens vs Paris FC?

Our model gives Lens 41%, the draw 36% and Paris FC 23%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (77% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 63% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 59% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Lens 1 - 1 Paris FC. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 77% confidence at odds of 1.50.

When is Lens vs Paris FC?

Kick-off is Saturday, 24 October 2026, 18:45 UTC at Stade Bollaert-Delelis. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. Matthieu UdolPenalty cancelled19'
  2. 28'Moustapha Mbow
  3. 29'Pierre Lees Melou
  4. 45'Luca Koleosho ⇄ Emmanuel Mbemba
  5. 45+2'Luca KoleoshoAssist: Lassine Sinayoko
  6. Jean-Clair TodiboRed card cancelled51'
  7. Florian Thauvin51'
  8. Jean-Clair Todibo ⇄ Kyllian Antonio61'
  9. Franjo Ivanovic ⇄ Thorgan Hazard61'
  10. Florian ThauvinAssist: Thorgan Hazard63'
  11. 67'Adama Camara ⇄ Moses Simon
  12. 67'Pablo Pagis ⇄ Rudy Matondo
  13. Amadou Haidara ⇄ Yassine Titraoui71'
  14. Samson Baidoo74'
  15. 76'Ilan Kebbal ⇄ Patrick Zabi
  16. 81'Rudy Matondo ⇄ Thibault De Smet
  17. Thorgan HazardAssist: Florian Thauvin83'
  18. Saud Abdulhamid ⇄ Michał Skóraś85'
  19. Florian Sotoca ⇄ Junior Kadile85'
  20. Michał Skóraś89'
  21. 90+2'Otavio
  22. Y. Cahuzac90+5'

Match stats

LensParis FC
Possession
56%44%
Expected goals (xG)
0.930.43
Shots
94
Shots on target
31
Corners
61
Fouls
1717
Offsides
01
Yellow cards
33
Red cards
00
Saves
02
Passes
554455