Lech Poznan vs Korona Kielce Prediction, Odds & Tips
Home or Draw (1X)Odds1.17
Lech PoznanDrawKorona Kielce
54%37%10%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
60%
Why we like it
- Model advice: Double chance : Lech Poznan or draw.
- Recent form: Lech Poznan WWLWW, Korona Kielce DWLWL (oldest to newest).
- Lech Poznan score 2.3 a game this season; Korona Kielce score 1.2.
Match preview
Lech Poznan host Korona Kielce in the Ekstraklasa (Regular Season - 11) on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Stadion Miejski.
This season Lech Poznan score 2.7 and concede 0.9 goals a game; Korona Kielce score 1.2 and concede 1.6.
In their last 5 meetings, Lech Poznan won 3, Korona Kielce won 1 and 1 ended level.
Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 90% confidence, priced at 1.17.
Quick answers
Who will win Lech Poznan vs Korona Kielce?
Our model gives Lech Poznan 54%, the draw 37% and Korona Kielce 10%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (90% confidence).
Will both teams score?
Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 58% confidence.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 60% confidence.
What is the predicted correct score?
Our most likely score is Lech Poznan 1 - 1 Korona Kielce. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.
What is the safest bet?
Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 90% confidence at odds of 1.17.
When is Lech Poznan vs Korona Kielce?
Kick-off is Sunday, 18 October 2026, 15:30 UTC at Stadion Miejski. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.
Match events
- ●Patrick WalemarkAssist: Pablo Rodriguez Delgado4'
- ●Pablo Rodriguez DelgadoAssist: Joel Pereira6'
- ●Mikael IshakAssist: Pablo Rodriguez Delgado23'
- 29'Ondrej Lingr ⇄ Martin Remacle⇄
- 45'kamil jakubczyk ⇄ Simon Gustafsson⇄
- 45'Marcel·Pieczek ⇄ Konrad Matuszewski⇄
- 45'Michael Ameyaw ⇄ Morgan Faßbender⇄
- Radosław Murawski45+2'
- ●Pablo Rodriguez DelgadoAssist: Mikael Ishak45+4'
- ●Mikael IshakAssist: Pablo Rodriguez Delgado55'
- 57'Camilo MenaAssist: Wiktor Długosz●
- ⇄Patrick Walemark ⇄ Daniel Håkans58'
- ⇄Terry Yegbe ⇄ Hubert Janyszka58'
- ⇄Radosław Murawski ⇄ Gustav Berggren58'
- Pablo Rodriguez Delgado61'
- 62'Mariusz Stępiński ⇄ Daniel Bak⇄
- ⇄Pablo Rodriguez Delgado ⇄ Filip Jagiełło68'
- 72'Daniel Bak
- ⇄Mikael Ishak ⇄ Y. Agnero76'
- 85'Slobodan Rubezic
- 90'Morgan Faßbender
- ●Y. AgneroAssist: Michal Gurgul90+1'
Match stats
Lech PoznanKorona Kielce
Expected goals (xG)
2.321.25
Key stats
Per game, this seasonLech PoznanKorona Kielce
Model comparison
PercentLech PoznanKorona Kielce
Goals scored, last 5
13.06.0
Goals conceded, last 5
5.08.0
Goal forecast: Lech Poznan Under 2.5, Korona Kielce Under 1.5Model verdict: Win or draw
Lech Poznan · last 1
0W 0D 1L15 OctHBayer Leverkusen0-4L
Korona Kielce · last 0
0W 0D 0LNo matches.
Head to head
Last 10Feb 2026Korona Kielce1-2Lech Poznan
Aug 2025Lech Poznan1-1Korona Kielce
Apr 2025Lech Poznan2-0Korona Kielce
Sept 2024Korona Kielce2-3Lech Poznan
May 2024Lech Poznan1-2Korona Kielce
Dec 2023Korona Kielce0-1Lech Poznan
May 2023Korona Kielce0-3Lech Poznan
Nov 2022Lech Poznan3-2Korona Kielce
Jun 2020Korona Kielce0-3Lech Poznan
Nov 2019Lech Poznan0-0Korona Kielce
Best available odds
DecimalHT/FT
1/X15.00
1/234.00
X/211.00
X/X7.00
1/12.38
X/14.75
2/119.00
2/X17.00
2/28.50
Correct score
1-18.00
2-18.50
2-09.00
1-09.50
3-012.00
3-112.00
2-213.00
0-017.00
1-217.00
0-119.00
4-119.00
3-221.00
4-021.00
Highlighted = our pick. Odds change; check with the bookmaker before betting.
Confirmed line-ups
ConfirmedLech Poznan 4-2-3-1
1M. Lis
2Joel Pereira
72M. Skrzypczak
59T. Yegbe
15M. Gurgul
22R. Murawski
43A. Kozubal
10P. Wålemark
21Pablo Rodríguez
77L. Palma
9M. Ishak
Korona Kielce 4-2-3-1
1X. Dziekoński
71W. Długosz
23S. Rubežić
2A. Mosór
6M. Pięczek
35Kamil Jakubczyk
18P. Hellebrand
30C. Mena
32O. Lingr
19M. Ameyaw
14M. Stępiński
