Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznan Prediction, Odds & Tips
Draw or Away (X2)Odds1.53
Legia WarszawaDrawLech Poznan
24%36%40%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
56%
Why we like it
- Model advice: Double chance : draw or Lech Poznan.
- Recent form: Legia Warszawa WDWWD, Lech Poznan WLWWW (oldest to newest).
- Legia Warszawa score 2.0 a game this season; Lech Poznan score 2.7.
Match preview
Legia Warszawa host Lech Poznan in the Ekstraklasa (Regular Season - 12) on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at Polish Army Stadium.
Lech Poznan have DWL (newest first; 1 win in their last 3).
This season Legia Warszawa score 2.0 and concede 0.8 goals a game; Lech Poznan score 2.7 and concede 0.9.
In their last 5 meetings, Legia Warszawa won 1, Lech Poznan won 3 and 1 ended level.
Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 76% confidence, priced at 1.53.
Quick answers
Who will win Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznan?
Our model gives Legia Warszawa 24%, the draw 36% and Lech Poznan 40%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (76% confidence).
Will both teams score?
Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 59% confidence.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 56% confidence.
What is the predicted correct score?
Our most likely score is Legia Warszawa 1 - 1 Lech Poznan. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.
What is the safest bet?
Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 76% confidence at odds of 1.53.
When is Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznan?
Kick-off is Sunday, 25 October 2026, 16:30 UTC at Polish Army Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.
Match events
- 14'Mikael Ishak ⇄ Y. Agnero⇄
- Paweł Wszołek15'
- ⇄Rafal Adamski ⇄ Mateusz Szczepaniak29'
- ⇄Paweł Wszołek ⇄ Rúben Vinagre45'
- 56'Y. AgneroAssist: Leo Bengtsson●
- 60'Terry Yegbe
- 66'Leo Bengtsson
- 67'Leo Bengtsson ⇄ Daniel Håkans⇄
- ⇄Michal Sevcik ⇄ Bogdan V'Yunnik67'
- ⇄Kacper Chodyna ⇄ Shinnosuke Fukuda67'
- 67'Patrick Walemark ⇄ Luis Palma⇄
- 67'Pablo Rodriguez Delgado ⇄ Filip Jagiełło⇄
- Bartosz Kapustka71'
- ●Bogdan V'YunnikAssist: Rafał Augustyniak74'
- 81'antoni kozubal ⇄ Gustav Berggren⇄
- ⇄Wojciech Urbanski ⇄ Damian Szymański85'
- 87'Luis PalmaAssist: Daniel Håkans●
Match stats
Legia WarszawaLech Poznan
Expected goals (xG)
1.541.30
Key stats
Per game, this seasonLegia WarszawaLech Poznan
Model comparison
PercentLegia WarszawaLech Poznan
Goals scored, last 5
10.017.0
Goals conceded, last 5
5.05.0
Goal forecast: Legia Warszawa Under 3.5, Lech Poznan Under 3.5Model verdict: Win or draw
Legia Warszawa · last 1
0W 1D 0L17 OctACracovia Krakow1-1D
Lech Poznan · last 3
1W 1D 1L22 OctHSunderland1-1D
18 OctHKorona Kielce6-1W
15 OctHBayer Leverkusen0-4L
Head to head
Last 10Apr 2026Lech Poznan4-0Legia Warszawa
Oct 2025Legia Warszawa0-0Lech Poznan
Jul 2025Lech Poznan1-2Legia Warszawa
May 2025Legia Warszawa0-1Lech Poznan
Nov 2024Lech Poznan5-2Legia Warszawa
May 2024Lech Poznan1-2Legia Warszawa
Nov 2023Legia Warszawa0-0Lech Poznan
Apr 2023Legia Warszawa2-2Lech Poznan
Oct 2022Lech Poznan0-0Legia Warszawa
Apr 2022Lech Poznan1-1Legia Warszawa
Best available odds
DecimalHT/FT
1/X13.00
1/223.00
X/26.50
X/X6.00
1/14.00
X/16.00
2/123.00
2/X13.00
2/24.33
Correct score
1-17.00
1-010.00
2-110.00
1-210.00
0-111.00
2-212.00
2-013.00
0-013.00
0-215.00
3-119.00
1-321.00
0-323.00
3-223.00
3-023.00
2-323.00
Highlighted = our pick. Odds change; check with the bookmaker before betting.
Confirmed line-ups
ConfirmedLegia Warszawa 3-4-3
89O. Hindrich
91K. Piątkowski
8R. Augustyniak
5Robert Deziel
22P. Wszołek
53W. Urbański
67B. Kapustka
11K. Chodyna
23M. Ševčík
79Ł. Zjawiński
9R. Adamski
Lech Poznan 4-4-2
1M. Lis
2Joel Pereira
72M. Skrzypczak
59T. Yegbe
15M. Gurgul
10P. Wålemark
22R. Murawski
43A. Kozubal
14L. Bengtsson
9M. Ishak
21Pablo Rodríguez