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Serie A · Regular Season - 10
Lecce
Genoa
Stadio Via del Mare

Lecce vs Genoa Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds1.44
77%
Confidence · Good
LecceDrawGenoa
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
BTTS
No
53%
Correct score
1-1
12%
HT/FT
1/1
19%
Double chance
X2
77%
Avg goals
2.6
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : draw or Genoa.
  • Recent form: Lecce WLLWL, Genoa DLWLW (oldest to newest).
  • Lecce score 1.1 a game this season; Genoa score 0.8.

Match preview

Lecce host Genoa in the Serie A (Regular Season - 10) on Sunday, 1 November 2026 at Stadio Via del Mare.

Genoa have WWL (newest first; 2 wins in their last 3).

This season Lecce score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals a game; Genoa score 0.8 and concede 1.6.

In their last 5 meetings, Lecce won 1, Genoa won 2 and 2 ended level.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 77% confidence, priced at 1.44.

Quick answers

Who will win Lecce vs Genoa?

Our model gives Lecce 23%, the draw 38% and Genoa 40%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (77% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 53% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 60% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Lecce 1 - 1 Genoa. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 77% confidence at odds of 1.44.

When is Lecce vs Genoa?

Kick-off is Sunday, 1 November 2026, 17:00 UTC at Stadio Via del Mare. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
LecceGenoa
Goals scored
1.10.8
Goals conceded
1.81.6
Clean sheets
25%13%

Model comparison

Percent
LecceGenoa
Form
46%54%
Attack
58%42%
Defence
40%60%
Poisson model
65%35%
Head to head
38%62%
Goals
43%57%
Overall
48%52%
Form, last 5 games
40%47%
Goals scored, last 5
7.05.0
Goals conceded, last 5
9.06.0
Goal forecast: Lecce Under 2.5, Genoa Under 1.5Model verdict: Win or draw