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Serie A · Regular Season - 9
Fiorentina
Atalanta
Stadio Artemio Franchi · Referee: Federico La Penna

Fiorentina vs Atalanta Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds1.62
74%
Confidence · Good
FiorentinaDrawAtalanta
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS
Yes
61%
Correct score
1-1
10%
HT/FT
1/1
23%
Double chance
X2
74%
Avg goals
3.6
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : draw or Atalanta.
  • Recent form: Fiorentina WDLLL, Atalanta LLWLD (oldest to newest).
  • Fiorentina score 1.1 a game this season; Atalanta score 1.8.

Match preview

Fiorentina host Atalanta in the Serie A (Regular Season - 9) on Thursday, 29 October 2026 at Stadio Artemio Franchi.

Atalanta have DLLWW (newest first; 2 wins in their last 5).

This season Fiorentina score 1.1 and concede 2.4 goals a game; Atalanta score 1.8 and concede 1.9.

In their last 5 meetings, Fiorentina won 2, Atalanta won 2 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 74% confidence, priced at 1.62.

Quick answers

Who will win Fiorentina vs Atalanta?

Our model gives Fiorentina 26%, the draw 36% and Atalanta 38%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (74% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 61% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 59% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Fiorentina 1 - 1 Atalanta. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 74% confidence at odds of 1.62.

When is Fiorentina vs Atalanta?

Kick-off is Thursday, 29 October 2026, 19:45 UTC at Stadio Artemio Franchi. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
FiorentinaAtalanta
Goals scored
1.11.8
Goals conceded
2.41.9
Clean sheets
0%13%

Model comparison

Percent
FiorentinaAtalanta
Form
50%50%
Attack
44%56%
Defence
55%45%
Poisson model
41%59%
Head to head
50%50%
Goals
47%53%
Overall
48%52%
Form, last 5 games
27%27%
Goals scored, last 5
8.010.0
Goals conceded, last 5
10.012.0
Goal forecast: Fiorentina Under 2.5, Atalanta Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw