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Serie A · Regular Season - 8
Lazio
2 - 1Full time
Parma
Stadio Olimpico · Referee: Alberto Ruben Arena

Lazio vs Parma Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home Win
Odds1.42
56%
Confidence · Fair
LazioDrawParma
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
No
53%
Correct score
1-0
11%
HT/FT
1/1
38%
Double chance
1X
89%
Avg goals
2.5
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Winner : Lazio.
  • Recent form: Lazio WDWWW, Parma DLWLL (oldest to newest).
  • Lazio score 2.0 a game this season; Parma score 0.6.

Match preview

Lazio host Parma in the Serie A (Regular Season - 8) on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at Stadio Olimpico.

This season Lazio score 2.0 and concede 0.6 goals a game; Parma score 0.6 and concede 1.9.

In their last 5 meetings, Lazio won 2, Parma won 1 and 2 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home Win with 56% confidence, priced at 1.42.

Quick answers

Who will win Lazio vs Parma?

Our model gives Lazio 56%, the draw 33% and Parma 11%. Our tip is Home Win (56% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 53% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 50% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Lazio 1 - 0 Parma. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 89% confidence at odds of 1.10.

When is Lazio vs Parma?

Kick-off is Saturday, 24 October 2026, 18:45 UTC at Stadio Olimpico. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. Oliver Provstgaard30'
  2. 38'Vincent Sierro
  3. Oliver Provstgaard ⇄ Diogo Leite45'
  4. 45'Vincent Sierro ⇄ Adrián Bernabé García
  5. Kenneth Taylor50'
  6. Diego CarlosOwn goal58'
  7. 63'Christian Ordóñez ⇄ Simone Lontani
  8. Kenneth Taylor ⇄ Fisayo Dele-Bashiru71'
  9. 72'Diego Carlos ⇄ Matija Frigan
  10. Gustav Isaksen ⇄ Manuel Lazzari77'
  11. Mattia Zaccagni ⇄ Alfonso Pedraza77'
  12. 78'José David Romero ⇄ Giovanni Fabbian
  13. 90+5'Simone LontaniAssist: Giovanni Fabbian

Match stats

LazioParma
Possession
68%32%
Expected goals (xG)
1.820.87
Shots
2110
Shots on target
54
Corners
83
Fouls
512
Offsides
23
Yellow cards
11
Red cards
00
Saves
34
Passes
640293