Las Palmas vs Castellón Prediction, Odds & Tips
Draw or Away (X2)Odds1.28
Las PalmasDrawCastellón
18%36%46%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
57%
Why we like it
- Model advice: Double chance : draw or Castellón.
- Recent form: Las Palmas WLLDL, Castellón WWWDL (oldest to newest).
- Las Palmas score 1.4 a game this season; Castellón score 1.7.
Match preview
Las Palmas host Castellón in the Segunda División (Regular Season - 10) on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Gran Canaria.
This season Las Palmas score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals a game; Castellón score 1.8 and concede 0.4.
In their last 5 meetings, Las Palmas won 2, Castellón won 2 and 1 ended level.
Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 82% confidence, priced at 1.28.
Quick answers
Who will win Las Palmas vs Castellón?
Our model gives Las Palmas 18%, the draw 36% and Castellón 46%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (82% confidence).
Will both teams score?
Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 59% confidence.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 57% confidence.
What is the predicted correct score?
Our most likely score is Las Palmas 1 - 1 Castellón. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.
What is the safest bet?
Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 82% confidence at odds of 1.28.
When is Las Palmas vs Castellón?
Kick-off is Saturday, 17 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Gran Canaria. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.
Match events
- Alex Suárez17'
- 18'Israel Suero Fernández●
- Iñaki González Zambrano19'
- 22'Agustín SienraAssist: Pablo Santiago●
- ⇄Iñaki González Zambrano ⇄ Enzo Loiodice26'
- Iván Jaime44'
- 45'Alberto Jiménez ⇄ Ilias Kostis⇄
- ⇄Kirian Rodríguez ⇄ Elías Romero45'
- 49'Matías Orozco
- 54'Pablo Santiago●
- ⇄Aboubacar Bassinga ⇄ Manu Fuster55'
- ⇄Jefte Betancor Sanchez ⇄ Mateo Acimovic56'
- 58'Matías Orozco ⇄ Jari Vlak⇄
- ⇄Taisei Miyashiro ⇄ Jesé Rodríguez70'
- Juanma Herzog72'
- 75'Israel Suero Fernández ⇄ David Muale Nzanza⇄
- Elías Romero83'
- 83'Adam Jakobsen ⇄ Michal Willmann⇄
- 83'Pablo Santiago ⇄ Martín Conde Gómez⇄
- Andrés Rodríguez Martínez87'
- Jesé Rodríguez88'
Match stats
Las PalmasCastellón
Expected goals (xG)
0.312.35
Key stats
Per game, this seasonLas PalmasCastellón
Model comparison
PercentLas PalmasCastellón
Goals scored, last 5
7.010.0
Goals conceded, last 5
10.03.0
Goal forecast: Las Palmas Under 1.5, Castellón Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw
Las Palmas · last 0
0W 0D 0LNo matches.
Castellón · last 0
0W 0D 0LNo matches.
Head to head
Last 5Feb 2026Las Palmas1-1Castellón
Nov 2025Castellón1-0Las Palmas
Feb 2021Castellón4-0Las Palmas
Oct 2020Las Palmas2-1Castellón
Dec 2019Castellón0-2Las Palmas
Best available odds
DecimalHT/FT
1/X15.00
1/221.00
X/25.50
X/X6.00
1/15.50
X/18.00
2/126.00
2/X13.00
2/23.20
Correct score
1-17.00
1-29.00
0-110.00
0-211.00
2-212.00
2-113.00
1-015.00
0-015.00
1-315.00
0-319.00
2-021.00
2-321.00
Highlighted = our pick. Odds change; check with the bookmaker before betting.
Confirmed line-ups
ConfirmedLas Palmas 5-4-1
13José Caro
25Valentín Pezzolesi
4Álex Suárez
15Juan Herzog
23A. Rodriguez
26A. Bassinga
11T. Miyashiro
20Kirian Rodríguez
6Iñaki González Zambrano
24Iván Jaime
7Jefté Betancor
Castellón 4-4-2
13R. Matthys
22J. Mellot
5Alberto Jiménez
4A. Sienra
14Iñigo Córdoba
18Pablo Santiago
8Barri
6M. Orozco
21Álvaro Martín
10Israel Suero
16A. Jakobsen
