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Segunda División · Regular Season - 11
Castellón
2 - 0LIVE 47'
Sporting Gijon
Estadio Municipal Castalia · Referee: Gorka Etayo Herrera

Castellón vs Sporting Gijon Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.12
88%
Confidence · High
CastellónDrawSporting Gijon
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS
Yes
54%
Correct score
2-0
9%
HT/FT
1/1
37%
Double chance
1X
88%
Avg goals
2.1
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Castellón or draw.
  • Recent form: Castellón WWDLW, Sporting Gijon WLWWW (oldest to newest).
  • Castellón score 1.8 a game this season; Sporting Gijon score 1.1.

Match preview

Castellón host Sporting Gijon in the Segunda División (Regular Season - 11) on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at Estadio Municipal Castalia.

This season Castellón score 1.8 and concede 0.4 goals a game; Sporting Gijon score 1.1 and concede 0.9.

In their last 5 meetings, Castellón won 3, Sporting Gijon won 2 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 88% confidence, priced at 1.12.

Quick answers

Who will win Castellón vs Sporting Gijon?

Our model gives Castellón 54%, the draw 34% and Sporting Gijon 12%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (88% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 54% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 57% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Castellón 2 - 0 Sporting Gijon. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 88% confidence at odds of 1.12.

When is Castellón vs Sporting Gijon?

Kick-off is Sunday, 25 October 2026, 17:30 UTC at Estadio Municipal Castalia. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
CastellónSporting Gijon
Goals scored
1.81.1
Goals conceded
0.40.9
Clean sheets
60%40%

Model comparison

Percent
CastellónSporting Gijon
Form
45%55%
Attack
55%45%
Defence
75%25%
Poisson model
79%21%
Head to head
60%40%
Goals
52%48%
Overall
61%39%
Form, last 5 games
67%80%
Goals scored, last 5
11.09.0
Goals conceded, last 5
2.06.0
Goal forecast: Castellón Under 2.5, Sporting Gijon Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw