Juventud vs Penarol Prediction, Odds & Tips
Draw or Away (X2)Odds1.25
JuventudDrawPenarol
18%37%46%
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
Why we like it
- Model advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Penarol and -3.5 goals.
- Recent form: Juventud WDDWL, Penarol WDWDL (oldest to newest).
- Juventud score 1.1 a game this season; Penarol score 1.6.
Match preview
Juventud host Penarol in the Primera División (Clausura - 12) on Friday, 23 October 2026 at Estadio Centenario.
This season Juventud score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals a game; Penarol score 1.6 and concede 0.8.
In their last 5 meetings, Juventud won 0, Penarol won 2 and 3 ended level.
Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 82% confidence, priced at 1.25.
Quick answers
Who will win Juventud vs Penarol?
Our model gives Juventud 18%, the draw 37% and Penarol 46%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (82% confidence).
Will both teams score?
Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 50% confidence.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 55% confidence.
What is the predicted correct score?
Our most likely score is Juventud 1 - 1 Penarol. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.
What is the safest bet?
Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 82% confidence at odds of 1.25.
When is Juventud vs Penarol?
Kick-off is Friday, 23 October 2026, 23:00 UTC at Estadio Centenario. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.
Match events
- Patricio Ezequiel Pernicone45+1'
- 60'Thiago Espinosa ⇄ leandro umpierrez⇄
- 60'Javier Cabrera ⇄ Matías Arezo⇄
- 60'Ignacio alegre ⇄ Brian Barboza⇄
- ⇄Gastón Pereiro ⇄ Mirko Diaz66'
- ⇄Ramiro Miguel Peralta ⇄ Agustin Nicolas Alaniz Sani66'
- 69'Maximiliano Olivera ⇄ Lucas Hernández⇄
- 76'Abel Hernández ⇄ Jonathan Rodriguez⇄
- ⇄Bruno Larregui ⇄ facundo dominguez76'
- 79'Brian Barboza
- Emanuel Cecchini81'
- 89'Roberto Fernández
- kevin rolon90'
- 90+1'Brian Barboza
- Agustin Nicolas Alaniz Sani90+5'
Match stats
JuventudPenarol
Key stats
Per game, this seasonJuventudPenarol
Model comparison
PercentJuventudPenarol
Goals scored, last 5
5.05.0
Goals conceded, last 5
3.04.0
Goal forecast: Juventud Under 1.5, Penarol Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw
Juventud · last 1
0W 0D 1L17 OctAProgreso2-0L
Penarol · last 1
0W 0D 1L18 OctALiverpool Montevideo1-0L
Head to head
Last 10Apr 2026Penarol2-2Juventud
Sept 2025Penarol1-0Juventud
Mar 2025Juventud0-2Penarol
Sept 2019Juventud1-1Penarol
Aug 2019Penarol0-0Juventud
Mar 2019Penarol4-1Juventud
Nov 2017Penarol1-0Juventud
Apr 2017Juventud0-2Penarol
Sept 2016Juventud1-0Penarol
Jun 2016Juventud1-1Penarol
Best available odds
DecimalHT/FT
1/X15.00
1/226.00
X/25.00
X/X5.00
1/16.50
X/18.00
2/134.00
2/X15.00
2/23.25
Correct score
1-16.50
0-17.00
0-08.50
0-29.00
1-29.00
1-010.00
2-113.00
2-215.00
0-317.00
1-317.00
2-019.00
2-329.00
Highlighted = our pick. Odds change; check with the bookmaker before betting.
Confirmed line-ups
ConfirmedJuventud 4-3-2-1
1S. Sosa
24F. Barrandeguy
2P. Pernicone
5david morosini
8K. Rolón
19R. Cecchini
14L. Roldán
37R. Peralta
22R. Chagas
26G. Pereiro
10B. Larregui
Penarol 4-2-3-1
29W. Aguerre
28I. Alegre
2G. Pezzella
34N. Herrera
15M. Olivera
5E. Remedi
8N. Fernández
7J. Cabrera
26Thiago Nahuel Espinosa Dovat
11C. Jaime
99A. Hernández