Wanderers vs Progreso Prediction, Odds & Tips
Draw or Away (X2)Odds1.62
WanderersDrawProgreso
26%37%37%
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Why we like it
- Model advice: Double chance : draw or Progreso.
- Recent form: Wanderers DWWLL, Progreso WWLDW (oldest to newest).
- Wanderers score 1.2 a game this season; Progreso score 0.9.
Match preview
Wanderers host Progreso in the Primera División (Clausura - 12) on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at Estadio Alfredo Victor Viera.
This season Wanderers score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals a game; Progreso score 0.9 and concede 1.4.
In their last 5 meetings, Wanderers won 1, Progreso won 2 and 2 ended level.
Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 74% confidence, priced at 1.62.
Quick answers
Who will win Wanderers vs Progreso?
Our model gives Wanderers 26%, the draw 37% and Progreso 37%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (74% confidence).
Will both teams score?
Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 54% confidence.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 53% confidence.
What is the predicted correct score?
Our most likely score is Wanderers 1 - 1 Progreso. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.
What is the safest bet?
Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 74% confidence at odds of 1.62.
When is Wanderers vs Progreso?
Kick-off is Sunday, 25 October 2026, 13:00 UTC at Estadio Alfredo Victor Viera. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.
Match events
- 6'Santino Bruschi ⇄ Lorenzo Couture⇄
- ⇄Fabricio Formiliano ⇄ Mario Garcia25'
- Mario Garcia40'
- ⇄Facundo Labandeira ⇄ Renzo·Sanchez Veiga46'
- 46'Gianfranco trasante ⇄ Facundo De Leon⇄
- ⇄darlin mencia ⇄ Leandro Zazpe46'
- 46'Maximiliano Juambeltz ⇄ Matteo copelotti⇄
- Joaquin Nicolas·Cabral48'
- 59'nahuel lopez●
- 65'Renzo Bacchia
- ⇄Mario Garcia ⇄ Jonathan Urretaviscaya69'
- 69'Emiliano Alvarez
- ⇄José Alberti ⇄ jonas luna79'
- Leandro Zazpe81'
- 90+1'nahuel lopez ⇄ Agustin Codagnone⇄
- 90+6'Agustín Ocampo ⇄ Gastón Silva⇄
Match stats
WanderersProgreso
Key stats
Per game, this seasonWanderersProgreso
Model comparison
PercentWanderersProgreso
Goals scored, last 5
6.09.0
Goals conceded, last 5
8.06.0
Goal forecast: Wanderers Under 2.5, Progreso Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw
Wanderers · last 1
0W 0D 1L17 OctARacing Montevideo3-0L
Progreso · last 1
1W 0D 0L17 OctHJuventud2-0W
Head to head
Last 10Jul 2026Wanderers2-0Progreso
Apr 2026Progreso2-1Wanderers
Sept 2025Progreso2-0Wanderers
Mar 2025Wanderers1-1Progreso
Nov 2024Progreso0-0Wanderers
Jul 2024Wanderers4-2Progreso
May 2024Wanderers2-0Progreso
Nov 2021Progreso3-1Wanderers
Jul 2021Wanderers2-0Progreso
Mar 2021Wanderers1-3Progreso
Best available odds
DecimalHT/FT
1/X13.00
1/229.00
X/27.00
X/X5.50
1/13.50
X/15.50
2/123.00
2/X15.00
2/25.50
Correct score
1-16.50
1-08.00
2-19.00
0-010.00
0-110.00
2-011.00
1-212.00
2-213.00
3-117.00
0-217.00
3-021.00
3-226.00
Highlighted = our pick. Odds change; check with the bookmaker before betting.
Confirmed line-ups
ConfirmedWanderers 4-3-3
33A. Buffa
31N. Furtado
13F. Formiliano
2N. Cabral
15D. Mencia
16J. Alberti
21S. Benitez
5N. Queiroz
30F. Labandeira
24J. Zeballos
10L. Cosentino
Progreso 4-2-3-1
1R. Bacchia
24E. Álvarez
15M. Martin
13H. Carroso
40A. Cougo
5A. Pinheiro
21S. Bruschi
16G. Trasante
10N. López
7A. Ocampo
8M. Juambeltz