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Primera A · Clausura - 17
Independiente Medellin
Alianza Valledupar
Estadio Atanasio Girardot

Independiente Medellin vs Alianza Valledupar Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds–
90%
Confidence · High
Independiente MedellinDrawAlianza Valledupar
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
BTTS
Yes
52%
Correct score
2-1
8%
HT/FT
1/1
28%
Double chance
1X
90%
Avg goals
2.6
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Independiente Medellin or draw.
  • Recent form: Independiente Medellin DLWLL, Alianza Valledupar WLDWW (oldest to newest).
  • Independiente Medellin score 1.4 a game this season; Alianza Valledupar score 0.9.

Match preview

Independiente Medellin host Alianza Valledupar in the Primera A (Clausura - 17) on Sunday, 1 November 2026 at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.

Independiente Medellin come into the game with a form of LLLW (newest first; 1 win in their last 4), while Alianza Valledupar have LWW (newest first; 2 wins in their last 3).

This season Independiente Medellin score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals a game; Alianza Valledupar score 0.8 and concede 1.6.

In their last 5 meetings, Independiente Medellin won 2, Alianza Valledupar won 1 and 2 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 90% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win Independiente Medellin vs Alianza Valledupar?

Our model gives Independiente Medellin 45%, the draw 45% and Alianza Valledupar 10%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (90% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 52% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 52% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Independiente Medellin 2 - 1 Alianza Valledupar. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 90% confidence.

When is Independiente Medellin vs Alianza Valledupar?

Kick-off is Sunday, 1 November 2026, 23:10 UTC at Estadio Atanasio Girardot. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
Independiente MedellinAlianza Valledupar
Goals scored
1.40.8
Goals conceded
1.31.6
Clean sheets
21%21%

Model comparison

Percent
Independiente MedellinAlianza Valledupar
Form
29%71%
Attack
42%58%
Defence
43%57%
Poisson model
63%37%
Head to head
62%38%
Goals
56%44%
Overall
49%51%
Form, last 5 games
27%67%
Goals scored, last 5
5.07.0
Goals conceded, last 5
8.06.0
Goal forecast: Independiente Medellin Under 2.5, Alianza Valledupar Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw