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Primera A · Clausura - 5
Atletico Nacional
Santa Fe
Estadio Atanasio Girardot

Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.12
87%
Confidence · High
Atletico NacionalDrawSanta Fe
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS
Yes
50%
Correct score
1-0
10%
HT/FT
1/1
35%
Double chance
1X
87%
Avg goals
2.8
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Atletico Nacional or draw.
  • Recent form: Atletico Nacional DWLWW, Santa Fe LWWLW (oldest to newest).
  • Atletico Nacional score 2.0 a game this season; Santa Fe score 1.5.

Match preview

Atletico Nacional host Santa Fe in the Primera A (Clausura - 5) on Friday, 30 October 2026 at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.

Atletico Nacional come into the game with a form of WWLWW (newest first; 4 wins in their last 5), while Santa Fe have WWL (newest first; 2 wins in their last 3).

This season Atletico Nacional score 2.0 and concede 0.9 goals a game; Santa Fe score 1.5 and concede 1.1.

In their last 5 meetings, Atletico Nacional won 2, Santa Fe won 1 and 2 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 87% confidence, priced at 1.12.

Quick answers

Who will win Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe?

Our model gives Atletico Nacional 53%, the draw 34% and Santa Fe 13%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (87% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 50% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 53% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Atletico Nacional 1 - 0 Santa Fe. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 87% confidence at odds of 1.12.

When is Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe?

Kick-off is Friday, 30 October 2026, 01:30 UTC at Estadio Atanasio Girardot. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
Atletico NacionalSanta Fe
Goals scored
2.01.5
Goals conceded
0.91.1
Clean sheets
33%19%

Model comparison

Percent
Atletico NacionalSanta Fe
Form
53%47%
Attack
64%36%
Defence
57%43%
Poisson model
76%24%
Head to head
62%38%
Goals
53%47%
Overall
61%39%
Form, last 5 games
67%60%
Goals scored, last 5
9.05.0
Goals conceded, last 5
3.04.0
Goal forecast: Atletico Nacional Under 2.5, Santa Fe Under 1.5Model verdict: Win or draw

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