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Liga MX · Apertura - 12
Guadalajara Chivas
1 - 1Full time
Tigres UANL
Estadio Akron · Referee: Fernando Hernandez Gomez

Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.22
73%
Confidence · Good
Guadalajara ChivasDrawTigres UANL
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS
Yes
55%
Correct score
1-1
10%
HT/FT
1/1
29%
Double chance
1X
73%
Avg goals
2.6
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Guadalajara Chivas or draw.
  • Recent form: Guadalajara Chivas WWDLD, Tigres UANL DDLWW (oldest to newest).
  • Guadalajara Chivas score 1.6 a game this season; Tigres UANL score 1.2.

Match preview

Guadalajara Chivas host Tigres UANL in the Liga MX (Apertura - 12) on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Estadio Akron.

This season Guadalajara Chivas score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals a game; Tigres UANL score 1.1 and concede 1.4.

In their last 5 meetings, Guadalajara Chivas won 1, Tigres UANL won 2 and 2 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 73% confidence, priced at 1.22.

Quick answers

Who will win Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL?

Our model gives Guadalajara Chivas 43%, the draw 30% and Tigres UANL 27%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (73% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 55% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 53% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Guadalajara Chivas 1 - 1 Tigres UANL. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 73% confidence at odds of 1.22.

When is Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL?

Kick-off is Saturday, 17 October 2026, 23:07 UTC at Estadio Akron. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. 36'Juan BrunettaAssist: Diego Lainez
  2. Leonel Calderón Oviedo ⇄ Bryan Gonzalez45'
  3. Ángel Sepúlveda ⇄ Ricardo Marín45'
  4. 45+2'Juan Brunetta
  5. Santiago Sandoval51'
  6. 62'Rodrigo Aguirre ⇄ Emiliano Gómez
  7. 62'Diego Sánchez ⇄ Ricardo Monreal
  8. 62'Diego Lainez ⇄ Jesús Garza
  9. Luis Rey ⇄ Richard Ledezma62'
  10. Fernando González67'
  11. Fernando González ⇄ Jordan Carrillo72'
  12. 75'Joaquim Pereira ⇄ Vladimir Loroña
  13. Jordan CarrilloAssist: Bryan Gonzalez77'
  14. Santiago Sandoval ⇄ Jesús Hernández86'
  15. 87'Fernando Gorriarán ⇄ Jonathan Herrera

Match stats

Guadalajara ChivasTigres UANL
Possession
69%31%
Expected goals (xG)
1.680.48
Shots
307
Shots on target
63
Corners
106
Fouls
1511
Offsides
10
Yellow cards
20
Red cards
01
Saves
25
Passes
578267