Guadalajara Chivas vs Necaxa Prediction, Odds & Tips
Home or Draw (1X)Odds1.10
Guadalajara ChivasDrawNecaxa
58%31%11%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
70%
Why we like it
- Model advice: Double chance : Guadalajara Chivas or draw.
- Recent form: Guadalajara Chivas WWDLD, Necaxa LLLDL (oldest to newest).
- Guadalajara Chivas score 1.6 a game this season; Necaxa score 1.3.
Match preview
Guadalajara Chivas host Necaxa in the Liga MX (Apertura - 13) on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at Estadio Akron.
This season Guadalajara Chivas score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals a game; Necaxa score 1.3 and concede 2.1.
In their last 5 meetings, Guadalajara Chivas won 2, Necaxa won 2 and 1 ended level.
Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 89% confidence, priced at 1.10.
Quick answers
Who will win Guadalajara Chivas vs Necaxa?
Our model gives Guadalajara Chivas 58%, the draw 31% and Necaxa 11%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (89% confidence).
Will both teams score?
Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 59% confidence.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 70% confidence.
What is the predicted correct score?
Our most likely score is Guadalajara Chivas 2 - 1 Necaxa. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.
What is the safest bet?
Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 89% confidence at odds of 1.10.
When is Guadalajara Chivas vs Necaxa?
Kick-off is Wednesday, 21 October 2026, 00:07 UTC at Estadio Akron. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.
Match events
- 14'Miguel Rodriguez
- ⇄Leonel Calderón Oviedo ⇄ Hugo Camberos45'
- 45'Emilio Martínez ⇄ Raúl Martínez⇄
- ⇄Jordan Carrillo ⇄ Santiago Sandoval45'
- 54'Miguel Rodriguez ⇄ Owen González⇄
- 54'Juan Valencia ⇄ Julián Carranza⇄
- ⇄Diego Campillo ⇄ Bryan Gonzalez61'
- ⇄Richard Ledezma ⇄ Kevin Castañeda61'
- ⇄Efrain Alvarez ⇄ Jesús Hernández72'
- ●Agustin OliverosOwn goal77'
- 78'Lorenzo Faravelli ⇄ Joshua Alejandro Palacios Pulido⇄
- 84'Diego Ochoa ⇄ Miguel Pedroza⇄
Match stats
Guadalajara ChivasNecaxa
Expected goals (xG)
0.760.58
Key stats
Per game, this seasonGuadalajara ChivasNecaxa
Model comparison
PercentGuadalajara ChivasNecaxa
Goals scored, last 5
9.06.0
Goals conceded, last 5
5.013.0
Goal forecast: Guadalajara Chivas Under 3.5, Necaxa Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw
Guadalajara Chivas · last 1
0W 1D 0L17 OctHTigres UANL1-1D
Necaxa · last 1
0W 0D 1L17 OctHAtlas0-2L
Head to head
Last 10Apr 2026Necaxa0-0Guadalajara Chivas
Sept 2025Guadalajara Chivas3-1Necaxa
Jan 2025Necaxa3-2Guadalajara Chivas
Oct 2024Guadalajara Chivas3-2Necaxa
Feb 2024Necaxa1-0Guadalajara Chivas
Jul 2023Guadalajara Chivas2-0Necaxa
Apr 2023Guadalajara Chivas1-0Necaxa
Aug 2022Necaxa0-4Guadalajara Chivas
Apr 2022Necaxa0-1Guadalajara Chivas
Dec 2021Necaxa2-3Guadalajara Chivas
Best available odds
DecimalHT/FT
1/X17.00
1/241.00
X/217.00
X/X9.50
1/11.91
X/14.50
2/115.00
2/X19.00
2/212.00
Correct score
2-19.00
2-09.50
3-110.00
3-011.00
1-111.00
1-013.00
4-015.00
4-115.00
2-215.00
3-219.00
1-221.00
0-026.00
Highlighted = our pick. Odds change; check with the bookmaker before betting.
Confirmed line-ups
ConfirmedGuadalajara Chivas 3-4-2-1
1J. Rangel
23D. Aguirre
16L. Rey
3D. Campillo
37R. Ledezma
28R. González
33J. Carrillo
182L. Calderon
25R. Alvarado
10E. Álvarez
17R. Marín
Necaxa 5-4-1
181Javier Orantes
2E. Martínez
5Kaiky Naves
15D. Ochoa
3A. Oliveros
14M. Zaleta
99M. Rodríguez
6D. Leyva
8L. Faravelli
10J. Ruiz
90J. Valencia
