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Primera División · Clausura - 12
FBC Melgar
4 - 2Full time
Deportivo Garcilaso
Estadio Monumental de la UNSA · Referee: Kevin Ortega

FBC Melgar vs Deportivo Garcilaso Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds2.30
67%
Confidence · Good
FBC MelgarDrawDeportivo Garcilaso
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS
Yes
50%
Correct score
2-0
10%
HT/FT
1/1
37%
Double chance
X2
67%
Avg goals
2.5
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : draw or Deportivo Garcilaso.
  • Recent form: FBC Melgar LWWDD, Deportivo Garcilaso WWLWL (oldest to newest).
  • FBC Melgar score 1.7 a game this season; Deportivo Garcilaso score 1.4.

Match preview

FBC Melgar host Deportivo Garcilaso in the Primera División (Clausura - 12) on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Estadio Monumental de la UNSA.

This season FBC Melgar score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals a game; Deportivo Garcilaso score 1.4 and concede 1.0.

In their last 5 meetings, FBC Melgar won 1, Deportivo Garcilaso won 2 and 2 ended level.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 67% confidence, priced at 2.30.

Quick answers

Who will win FBC Melgar vs Deportivo Garcilaso?

Our model gives FBC Melgar 33%, the draw 35% and Deportivo Garcilaso 33%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (67% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 50% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 59% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is FBC Melgar 2 - 0 Deportivo Garcilaso. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 67% confidence at odds of 2.30.

When is FBC Melgar vs Deportivo Garcilaso?

Kick-off is Saturday, 17 October 2026, 23:00 UTC at Estadio Monumental de la UNSA. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. 5'Facundo Castelli
  2. 9'Facundo CastelliAssist: Pablo Labrin
  3. Nicolas QuagliataAssist: Matías Lazo39'
  4. 57'Francisco ArancibiaAssist: Pablo Labrin
  5. 60'Carlos Ramos
  6. Johnny VidalesPenalty62'
  7. Nicolas Quagliata64'
  8. Nelson Cabanillas ⇄ Horacio Orzan68'
  9. 71'Facundo Castelli ⇄ Fernando Pacheco
  10. Bernardo Cuesta73'
  11. Johnny Vidales ⇄ Lautaro Guzmán74'
  12. Cristian BordacaharAssist: Horacio Orzan76'
  13. Cristian Bordacahar ⇄ Franco Zanelatto81'
  14. Kevin Minda ⇄ Jesús Alcantar82'
  15. 83'Carlos Ramos ⇄ Claudio Torrejón
  16. 83'Pablo Labrin ⇄ Adrian Ascues
  17. 83'Beto Da Silva ⇄ Christopher Olivares
  18. 88'Xavi Moreno Layme ⇄ José Anthony Rosell
  19. Walter Tandazo90+5'

Match stats

FBC MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso
Possession
64%36%
Expected goals (xG)
2.890.78
Shots
2215
Shots on target
104
Corners
66
Fouls
166
Offsides
10
Yellow cards
22
Red cards
00
Saves
26
Passes
497276

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