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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 9
Estrela
0 - 2Full time
Casa Pia
Estadio Jose Gomes · Referee: Bruno Pires Costa

Estrela vs Casa Pia Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.18
85%
Confidence · High
EstrelaDrawCasa Pia
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS
Yes
52%
Correct score
1-1
11%
HT/FT
1/1
30%
Double chance
1X
85%
Avg goals
3.1
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Estrela or draw.
  • Recent form: Estrela DWDLL, Casa Pia LDLWL (oldest to newest).
  • Estrela score 1.8 a game this season; Casa Pia score 0.4.

Match preview

Estrela host Casa Pia in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 9) on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at Estadio Jose Gomes.

This season Estrela score 1.8 and concede 1.9 goals a game; Casa Pia score 0.4 and concede 2.1.

In their last 5 meetings, Estrela won 2, Casa Pia won 3 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 85% confidence, priced at 1.18.

Quick answers

Who will win Estrela vs Casa Pia?

Our model gives Estrela 49%, the draw 36% and Casa Pia 15%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (85% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 52% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 51% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Estrela 1 - 1 Casa Pia. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 85% confidence at odds of 1.18.

When is Estrela vs Casa Pia?

Kick-off is Saturday, 24 October 2026, 14:30 UTC at Estadio Jose Gomes. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. 31'João RegoAssist: Mohamed Salah El Boukammiri
  2. 60'Cassiano ⇄ Henrique Araújo
  3. 60'Mohamed Salah El Boukammiri ⇄ Jérémy Livolant
  4. Ianis Stoica ⇄ Beni Souza61'
  5. Rafa Soares ⇄ Lucas Mincarelli Davin61'
  6. 68'Patrick Sequeira
  7. Max Scholze ⇄ Jefferson Encada72'
  8. Lovro Zvonarek ⇄ Tom Moustier72'
  9. 78'João Rego ⇄ Márcio Gabriel Ferreira Pereira
  10. 78'Sebastián Pérez ⇄ Selvi Clua
  11. Eddy Doué ⇄ Alisson Souza83'
  12. 83'Benjamin Pauwels ⇄ Kevin Prieto
  13. 90+2'Lawrence OforiAssist: Henrique Araújo
  14. Jefferson Encada90+4'
  15. 90+4'Pedro Rosas

Match stats

EstrelaCasa Pia
Possession
63%37%
Expected goals (xG)
1.720.81
Shots
1810
Shots on target
64
Corners
75
Fouls
1313
Yellow cards
12
Red cards
00
Saves
26
Passes
504303

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