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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 7
Estac Troyes
1 - 3Full time
Lens
Stade de l'Aube · Referee: Hakim Ben el Hadj

Estac Troyes vs Lens Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds1.28
83%
Confidence · High
Estac TroyesDrawLens
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS
Yes
59%
Correct score
1-1
9%
HT/FT
2/2
29%
Double chance
X2
83%
Avg goals
3.2
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : draw or Lens.
  • Recent form: Estac Troyes WLLLL, Lens LLDLW (oldest to newest).
  • Estac Troyes score 0.7 a game this season; Lens score 1.8.

Match preview

Estac Troyes host Lens in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 7) on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Stade de l'Aube.

This season Estac Troyes score 0.7 and concede 2.3 goals a game; Lens score 2.0 and concede 1.6.

In their last 5 meetings, Estac Troyes won 0, Lens won 4 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 83% confidence, priced at 1.28.

Quick answers

Who will win Estac Troyes vs Lens?

Our model gives Estac Troyes 17%, the draw 35% and Lens 48%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (83% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 59% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 57% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Estac Troyes 1 - 1 Lens. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 83% confidence at odds of 1.28.

When is Estac Troyes vs Lens?

Kick-off is Saturday, 17 October 2026, 18:45 UTC at Stade de l'Aube. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. 13'Adrien MonfrayOwn goal
  2. Timothee Nkada26'
  3. 45+2'Odsonne ÉdouardAssist: Florian Thauvin
  4. 55'Ruben AguilarAssist: Florian Thauvin
  5. 60'Jean-Clair Todibo ⇄ Samson Baidoo
  6. Timothee Nkada ⇄ Kandet Diawara60'
  7. Paolo Gozzi Iweru ⇄ Noah Donkor64'
  8. 67'Florian Thauvin ⇄ Mezian Soares Mesloub
  9. 67'Odsonne Édouard ⇄ Franjo Ivanovic
  10. 67'Yassine Titraoui ⇄ Amadou Haidara
  11. 72'Ruben Aguilar ⇄ Saud Abdulhamid
  12. Junior Diaz76'
  13. Renaud Ripart76'
  14. 77'Samson Baidoo
  15. Mouhamed Diop ⇄ Jérémy Le Douaron79'
  16. Lucas Maronnier ⇄ Iron Gomis79'
  17. 82'Amadou Haidara

Match stats

Estac TroyesLens
Possession
41%59%
Expected goals (xG)
1.271.45
Shots
1213
Shots on target
53
Corners
64
Fouls
1311
Offsides
01
Yellow cards
22
Red cards
00
Saves
14
Passes
372540