Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, Odds & Tips
Draw or Away (X2)Odds1.17
EspanyolDrawAtletico Madrid
15%35%50%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
57%
Why we like it
- Model advice: Double chance : draw or Atletico Madrid.
- Recent form: Espanyol DWLLD, Atletico Madrid LWWWW (oldest to newest).
- Espanyol score 1.4 a game this season; Atletico Madrid score 2.3.
Match preview
Espanyol host Atletico Madrid in the La Liga (Regular Season - 9) on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at RCDE Stadium.
This season Espanyol score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals a game; Atletico Madrid score 2.1 and concede 0.9.
In their last 5 meetings, Espanyol won 1, Atletico Madrid won 1 and 3 ended level.
Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 85% confidence, priced at 1.17.
Quick answers
Who will win Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid?
Our model gives Espanyol 15%, the draw 35% and Atletico Madrid 50%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (85% confidence).
Will both teams score?
Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 56% confidence.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 57% confidence.
What is the predicted correct score?
Our most likely score is Espanyol 1 - 1 Atletico Madrid. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.
What is the safest bet?
Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 85% confidence at odds of 1.17.
When is Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid?
Kick-off is Saturday, 17 October 2026, 12:00 UTC at RCDE Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.
Match events
- 22'Morten Hjulmand
- 43'Lee Kang-In
- 45'Daniel Martinez Moreno ⇄ Alejandro Grimaldo⇄
- 45'Ademola Lookman ⇄ Julián Álvarez⇄
- 55'Pablo Barrios Rivas ⇄ Marcos Llorente⇄
- 62'Lee Kang-In ⇄ Alejandro Baena Rodríguez⇄
- ⇄Vanja Drkusic ⇄ Unai Núñez64'
- 66'Cristian Romero
- 67'Cristian Romero ⇄ Rodrigo Mendoza⇄
- 68'Alejandro Baena Rodríguez
- ⇄Eduardo Expósito Jaén ⇄ Álex Calatrava Torrado73'
- ⇄Francisco Javier Hernandez Coarasa ⇄ Gabriel Moscardo73'
- 79'Rodrigo Mendoza
- Roger Hinojo81'
- ⇄Bryan Zaragoza ⇄ Javi Puado82'
- ⇄Roberto Fernández Jaén ⇄ Marcos Fernández82'
- Unai Núñez87'
- 89'Alejandro Baena RodríguezAssist: Julián Álvarez●
Match stats
EspanyolAtletico Madrid
Expected goals (xG)
0.611.41
Key stats
Per game, this seasonEspanyolAtletico Madrid
Model comparison
PercentEspanyolAtletico Madrid
Goals scored, last 5
6.011.0
Goals conceded, last 5
7.05.0
Goal forecast: Espanyol Under 2.5, Atletico Madrid Under 3.5Model verdict: Win or draw
Espanyol · last 0
0W 0D 0LNo matches.
Atletico Madrid · last 1
1W 0D 0L13 OctHManchester United2-0W
Head to head
Last 10Feb 2026Atletico Madrid4-2Espanyol
Aug 2025Espanyol2-1Atletico Madrid
Mar 2025Espanyol1-1Atletico Madrid
Aug 2024Atletico Madrid0-0Espanyol
May 2023Espanyol3-3Atletico Madrid
Nov 2022Atletico Madrid1-1Espanyol
Apr 2022Atletico Madrid2-1Espanyol
Sept 2021Espanyol1-2Atletico Madrid
Mar 2020Espanyol1-1Atletico Madrid
Nov 2019Atletico Madrid3-1Espanyol
Best available odds
DecimalHT/FT
1/X15.00
1/221.00
X/24.50
X/X6.50
1/18.50
X/111.00
2/134.00
2/X15.00
2/22.50
Correct score
1-17.50
0-18.50
1-28.50
0-29.00
0-313.00
1-313.00
1-015.00
2-115.00
0-015.00
2-215.00
2-321.00
2-026.00
0-423.00
Highlighted = our pick. Odds change; check with the bookmaker before betting.
Confirmed line-ups
ConfirmedEspanyol 5-4-1
1Ángel Fortuño
23O. El Hilali
16V. Drkušić
5C. Riedel
6L. Cabrera
21Roger Hinojo
28Javier Hernandez
8Edu Expósito
10Pol Lozano
15Bryan Zaragoza
9Roberto Fernández
Atletico Madrid 4-3-1-2
13J. Oblak
18Marc Pubill
21C. Romero
17D. Hancko
30Dani MartÃnez
20G. Simeone
8Pablo Barrios
23M. Hjulmand
7Lee Kang-In
15J. David
11A. Lookman
Injuries and suspensions
Espanyol: Jofre, Groin Injury, out
Espanyol: K. Garcia, Hamstring Injury, out
Atletico Madrid: J. Cardoso, Illness, out
Atletico Madrid: Koke, Muscle Injury, out
